October 10, 2024
Top 10 Stock Midland States Bancorp Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Midland States Bancorp – Top 10 Stock in Sound Pay Practices in the United States
Midland States Bancorp is listed as a top 10 stock on October 10, 2024 in the market index Sound Pay USA because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 15 (15% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Midland States Bancorp on October 10, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Regional Banks |
| Index | Dividends USA, Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Midland States Bancorp Sell
| 360 METRICS | October 10, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 1 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 25 |
|
||||||
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 9 |
|
||||||
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 15 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Midland States Bancorp are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Midland States Bancorp. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 100, which means that the share price of Midland States Bancorp is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 100% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 1, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 25, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 75% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 91% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 9. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 15, Midland States Bancorp is worse than 85% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Midland States Bancorp shares are on the riskier side for investors. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 100. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 1), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 25), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 9) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Midland States Bancorp is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of Midland States Bancorp. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Midland States Bancorp negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 9 (better than 9% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Midland States Bancorp is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Midland States Bancorp. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 23 (worse than 77% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Midland States Bancorp. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 13, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 87% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 12, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 88% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 9 (less encouraging than 91% compared with investment alternatives), Midland States Bancorp has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more
Value Strategy: Midland States Bancorp Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Midland States Bancorp shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Midland States Bancorp. Price-to-Sales is 95 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 95% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Midland States Bancorp's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 93% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 94. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Midland States Bancorp are expected to be higher than for 92% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 92). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation based on Midland States Bancorp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Midland States Bancorp based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Midland States Bancorp Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), Midland States Bancorp shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Midland States Bancorp. Sales Growth has a rank of 8, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 92% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 14, and Capital Growth with 11. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 15, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 85% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 1, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Midland States Bancorp Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | October 10, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 52 |
|
||||||
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 67 |
|
||||||
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 1 |
|
||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 25 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), the company Midland States Bancorp has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Midland States Bancorp is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Midland States Bancorp.Leverage is at 52, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 52% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 67, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 67% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 1, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 99% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with alternatives), Midland States Bancorp has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Midland States Bancorp Lowest Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | October 10, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 1 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 1 |
|
||||||
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 21 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 21 (worse than 79% compared with investment alternatives), Midland States Bancorp (Regional Banks, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Midland States Bancorp are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 1), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 25), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 21, is a sell recommendation based on Midland States Bancorp's financial characteristics. As the company Midland States Bancorp's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 100) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 1) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 25), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 100% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.