Fact based stock research
Mizuho Financial (TSE:8411)

JP3885780001

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

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Mizuho Financial stock research in summary

mizuho-fg.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with investment alternatives), Mizuho Financial (Diversified Banks, Japan) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Mizuho Financial are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 97) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 46), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 84, is a strong buy recommendation based on Mizuho Financial's financial characteristics. As the company Mizuho Financial's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 51) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 97), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 46) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	51
Growth Rank	97
Safety Rank	46
Combined Rank	84

Country	Japan
Industry	Diversified Banks
Index	TOPIX 100, Nikkei 225
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Mizuho Financial

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	83	89	88	51
GROWTH
GROWTH	17	45	63	97
SAFETY
SAFETY	100	37	36	46
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	8	54	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	35	65	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Mizuho Financial is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	83	89	88	51
GROWTH
GROWTH	17	45	63	97
SAFETY
SAFETY	100	37	36	46
COMBINED
COMBINED	90	62	74	84

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Mizuho Financial the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Mizuho Financial shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half are above average for Mizuho Financial. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 59, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 59% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Mizuho Financial's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 57% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 37 (dividends are expected to be higher than for 37% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 51% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Mizuho Financial to 49. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation based on Mizuho Financial's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner on assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities, or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the low Dividend Yield is also explained as such companies tend to invest their income into market development. The other good value ranks for Sales and Profits are encouraging indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	87	82	100	59
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	68	82	70	57
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	90	83	59	49
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	64	61	61	37
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	83	89	88	51

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Mizuho Financial; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Mizuho Financial shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Mizuho Financial. Sales Growth has a rank of 75 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 75% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 75, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 91, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 49, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 51% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 97, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	19	67	30	75
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	9	61	54	75
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	37	53	49
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	44	31	79	91
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	17	45	63	97

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Mizuho Financial.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 46 (better than 46% compared with alternatives), the company Mizuho Financial has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Mizuho Financial is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Mizuho Financial.Leverage is at 76, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 76% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 71, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 71% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 7, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 93% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with alternatives), Mizuho Financial has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Mizuho Financial more challenging. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	100	29	66	76
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	100	75	67	71
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	100	45	5	7
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	100	37	36	46

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Mizuho Financial and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	46	57	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	83	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	23	52	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	6	5	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	8	54	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Mizuho Financial.
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