Fact based stock research
Molina Healthcare (NYSE:MOH)
US60855R1005
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Molina Healthcare stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with investment alternatives), Molina Healthcare (Health Care Managed, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Molina Healthcare are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 43 (worse than 57% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 55) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 98, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 88, is a strong buy recommendation based on Molina Healthcare's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Molina Healthcare exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 43), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 55). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 98) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Health Care Managed |
| Index | Employee Focus US, D.J. US Health Care, S&P MIDCAP |
| Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Molina Healthcare
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 13 |
|
28 |
|
24 |
|
43 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 83 |
|
81 |
|
65 |
|
55 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 80 |
|
90 |
|
83 |
|
98 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
85 |
|
45 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
97 |
|
67 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with investment alternatives), Molina Healthcare (Health Care Managed, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Molina Healthcare are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 43 (worse than 57% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 55) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 98, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 88, is a strong buy recommendation based on Molina Healthcare's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Molina Healthcare exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 43), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 55). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 98) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 13 |
|
28 |
|
24 |
|
43 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 83 |
|
81 |
|
65 |
|
55 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 80 |
|
90 |
|
83 |
|
98 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 66 |
|
92 |
|
74 |
|
88 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 43 (worse than 57% compared with alternatives), Molina Healthcare shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half are above average for Molina Healthcare. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 65, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 65% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Molina Healthcare's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 70% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 1 (dividends are expected to be higher than for 1% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 77% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Molina Healthcare to 23. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 43, is a hold recommendation based on Molina Healthcare's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner on assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities, or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the low Dividend Yield is also explained as such companies tend to invest their income into market development. The other good value ranks for Sales and Profits are encouraging indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 64 |
|
75 |
|
64 |
|
65 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 33 |
|
37 |
|
49 |
|
70 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 2 |
|
19 |
|
13 |
|
23 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 13 |
|
28 |
|
24 |
|
43 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Molina Healthcare shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Molina Healthcare. Sales Growth has a rank of 70, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 70% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 55 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 43, and Stock Returns with 31 are also below-average. Stock returns for Molina Healthcare have recently been below 69% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Molina Healthcare. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 92 |
|
64 |
|
79 |
|
70 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 71 |
|
71 |
|
65 |
|
55 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
45 |
|
27 |
|
43 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 86 |
|
73 |
|
57 |
|
31 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 83 |
|
81 |
|
65 |
|
55 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Molina Healthcare has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Molina Healthcare is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Molina Healthcare. Leverage is at 64, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 64% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 82, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 82% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 89, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 89% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives), Molina Healthcare has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Molina Healthcare but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 92 |
|
34 |
|
28 |
|
64 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 35 |
|
98 |
|
80 |
|
82 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 86 |
|
67 |
|
80 |
|
89 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 80 |
|
90 |
|
83 |
|
98 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
31 |
|
22 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
58 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
89 |
|
70 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
90 |
|
52 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
85 |
|
45 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Molina Healthcare from November 14, 2024.
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