Fact based stock research
Molina Healthcare (NYSE:MOH)
US60855R1005
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
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Molina Healthcare stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with investment alternatives), Molina Healthcare (Health Care Managed, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Molina Healthcare are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 21 (worse than 79% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 96) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 75, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 85, is a strong buy recommendation based on Molina Healthcare's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Molina Healthcare exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 21), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 96). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 75) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Health Care Managed |
Index | Employee Focus US, D.J. US Health Care, S&P MIDCAP |
Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Molina Healthcare
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 13 |
|
28 |
|
24 |
|
n/a |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 83 |
|
81 |
|
65 |
|
n/a |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 80 |
|
90 |
|
83 |
|
n/a |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
85 |
|
45 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
97 |
|
67 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with investment alternatives), Molina Healthcare (Health Care Managed, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Molina Healthcare are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 21 (worse than 79% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 96) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 75, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 85, is a strong buy recommendation based on Molina Healthcare's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Molina Healthcare exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 21), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 96). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 75) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 13 |
|
28 |
|
24 |
|
n/a |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 83 |
|
81 |
|
65 |
|
n/a |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 80 |
|
90 |
|
83 |
|
n/a |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 66 |
|
92 |
|
74 |
|
n/a |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 21 (worse than 79% compared with alternatives), Molina Healthcare shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Molina Healthcare. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 64, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 64% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Molina Healthcare's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 1, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 99% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 86% of alternatives (only 14% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 57% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 21, is a sell recommendation based on Molina Healthcare's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Molina Healthcare could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Molina Healthcare looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 64 |
|
75 |
|
64 |
|
n/a |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 33 |
|
37 |
|
49 |
|
n/a |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 2 |
|
19 |
|
13 |
|
n/a |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 13 |
|
28 |
|
24 |
|
n/a |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2025, Molina Healthcare shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Molina Healthcare. Sales Growth has a value of 79, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 79% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 69 and for Capital Growth with 67. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 77, which means they have been higher than 77% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 96, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Molina Healthcare exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 92 |
|
64 |
|
79 |
|
n/a |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 71 |
|
71 |
|
65 |
|
n/a |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
45 |
|
27 |
|
n/a |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 86 |
|
73 |
|
57 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 83 |
|
81 |
|
65 |
|
n/a |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2025, the company Molina Healthcare has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Molina Healthcare is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Molina Healthcare. Refinancing is at 73, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 73% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 77, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 77% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 28, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 72% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives), Molina Healthcare has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Molina Healthcare could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Molina Healthcare and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 92 |
|
34 |
|
28 |
|
n/a |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 35 |
|
98 |
|
80 |
|
n/a |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 86 |
|
67 |
|
80 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 80 |
|
90 |
|
83 |
|
n/a |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
31 |
|
22 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
58 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
89 |
|
70 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
90 |
|
52 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
85 |
|
45 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Molina Healthcare from January 9, 2025.
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