Fact based stock research
Nippon Shinyaku (TSE:4516)

JP3717600005

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Nippon Shinyaku stock research in summary

nippon-shinyaku.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with investment alternatives), Nippon Shinyaku (Pharmaceuticals, Japan) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Nippon Shinyaku are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 96, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 18). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 86, is a strong buy recommendation based on Nippon Shinyaku's financial characteristics. As the company Nippon Shinyaku's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 90) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 18) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 96), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 90% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	90
Growth Rank	18
Safety Rank	96
Combined Rank	86

Country	Japan
Industry	Pharmaceuticals
Index
Size class	Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Nippon Shinyaku

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	62	39	76	90
GROWTH
GROWTH	84	67	15	18
SAFETY
SAFETY	91	84	90	96
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	94	47	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	95	66	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Nippon Shinyaku is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	62	39	76	90
GROWTH
GROWTH	84	67	15	18
SAFETY
SAFETY	91	84	90	96
COMBINED
COMBINED	93	70	67	86

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Nippon Shinyaku the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Nippon Shinyaku shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Nippon Shinyaku. Price-to-Sales is 58 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 58% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Nippon Shinyaku's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 97% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 70. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Nippon Shinyaku are expected to be higher than for 77% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 77). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 90, is a buy recommendation based on Nippon Shinyaku's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Nippon Shinyaku based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	34	33	47	58
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	67	53	93	97
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	27	45	58	70
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	65	47	82	77
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	62	39	76	90

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Nippon Shinyaku; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 18 (better than 18% compared with alternatives), Nippon Shinyaku shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Nippon Shinyaku. Sales Growth has a rank of 37, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 63% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 45, and Capital Growth with 18. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 36, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 64% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 18, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	67	28	40	37
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	1	50	60	45
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	54	16	18
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	69	77	5	36
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	84	67	15	18

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Nippon Shinyaku.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Nippon Shinyaku has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Nippon Shinyaku is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Nippon Shinyaku. Leverage is at 81, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 81% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 78, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 78% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 94, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 94% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives), Nippon Shinyaku has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Nippon Shinyaku but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	73	76	81	81
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	51	57	75	78
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	100	88	88	94
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	91	84	90	96

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Nippon Shinyaku and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	67	67	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	91	31	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	80	72	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	53	37	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	94	47	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Nippon Shinyaku.
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