Fact based stock research
Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY)
US6745991058
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Occidental Petroleum stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with investment alternatives), Occidental Petroleum (Oil & Gas Integrated, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Occidental Petroleum are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 16 (worse than 84% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 44), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 32), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation based on Occidental Petroleum's financial characteristics. As the company Occidental Petroleum's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 16), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 44), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 32), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Integrated |
| Index | Human Rights, Oil & Gas, S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Occidental Petroleum
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 2 |
|
27 |
|
8 |
|
16 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 75 |
|
15 |
|
51 |
|
44 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 8 |
|
37 |
|
30 |
|
32 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
25 |
|
14 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
7 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with investment alternatives), Occidental Petroleum (Oil & Gas Integrated, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Occidental Petroleum are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 16 (worse than 84% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 44), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 32), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation based on Occidental Petroleum's financial characteristics. As the company Occidental Petroleum's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 16), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 44), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 32), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 2 |
|
27 |
|
8 |
|
16 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 75 |
|
15 |
|
51 |
|
44 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 8 |
|
37 |
|
30 |
|
32 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 8 |
|
7 |
|
6 |
|
10 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 16 (worse than 84% compared with alternatives), Occidental Petroleum shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Occidental Petroleum. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 55, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 55% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Occidental Petroleum's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 30, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 70% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 72% of alternatives (only 28% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 81% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 16, is a sell recommendation based on Occidental Petroleum's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Occidental Petroleum could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Occidental Petroleum looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 33 |
|
78 |
|
47 |
|
55 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 5 |
|
9 |
|
9 |
|
19 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 4 |
|
40 |
|
15 |
|
28 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 14 |
|
31 |
|
31 |
|
30 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 2 |
|
27 |
|
8 |
|
16 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 44 (better than 44% compared with alternatives), Occidental Petroleum shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Occidental Petroleum. Profit Growth, with a rank of 56 (better than 56% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 58, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 48, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 52% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 24. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 44, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 17 |
|
10 |
|
46 |
|
48 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 57 |
|
43 |
|
34 |
|
56 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
74 |
|
77 |
|
58 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 92 |
|
21 |
|
47 |
|
24 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 75 |
|
15 |
|
51 |
|
44 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 32 (better than 32% compared with alternatives), the company Occidental Petroleum has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Occidental Petroleum is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Occidental Petroleum and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 60, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 60% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 17, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 83% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 40, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 60% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with alternatives), Occidental Petroleum has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Occidental Petroleum are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Occidental Petroleum and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 8 |
|
17 |
|
24 |
|
17 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 52 |
|
81 |
|
52 |
|
60 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 13 |
|
33 |
|
31 |
|
40 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 8 |
|
37 |
|
30 |
|
32 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
26 |
|
13 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
17 |
|
10 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
75 |
|
42 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
16 |
|
31 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
25 |
|
14 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Occidental Petroleum from November 14, 2024.
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