June 15, 2023
Top 10 Stock Pampa Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Pampa – Top 10 Stock in Nuclear Energy
Pampa is listed as a top 10 stock on June 15, 2023 in the market index Nuclear because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. While the company shows high growth, the stock price is high yet professional investor sentiment is low, which may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior, reflected in a low stock price value. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 34 (34% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Pampa on June 15, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Pampa Hold
| 360 METRICS | June 15, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 26 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 80 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 67 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 7 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 34 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 34 (better than 34% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Pampa are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Pampa. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 80, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 80% of competitors in the same industry. In addition, the consolidated Safety Rank has a safer rank of 67 which means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 67% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 26 which means that the share price of Pampa is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is higher than for 74% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 7, which means that professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 93% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 34, Pampa is worse than 66% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, the picture is ambiguous. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 80), and the company is safely financed (Safety Rank of 67). However, professional market sentiment is low(Sentiment Rank of 7). The negative market view on Pampa may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to board the train, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. It is typical for growth companies to have low value ratings, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Pampa compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one hundred minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the value rank is above 60. As market sentiment is low, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company’s future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Pampa negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 7 (better than 7% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Pampa is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half the indicators below and half above average for Pampa. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 19 (worse than 81% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 25, which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. In addition, the Professional Investors rank is 21, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 79% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. The only positive sentiment indicator for Pampa is Market Pulse, with a rank of 53, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 53% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 7 (less encouraging than 93% compared with investment alternatives), Pampa has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. This is an ambiguous picture: analysts are negative and getting even more critical while the news in the market is positive. Who should investors believe? This is a difficult question in such a situation. Investors should proceed cautiously and verify not only the financial performance in the Obermatt Value, Growth and Safety Ranks but also independent news coverage of the company. ...read more
Value Strategy: Pampa Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 26 (worse than 74% compared with alternatives), Pampa shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Pampa. Price-to-Sales is 35 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 65% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Pampa's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 46, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Pampa. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 30 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 26, is a HOLD recommendation based on Pampa's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Pampa? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Pampa? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Pampa may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Pampa Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Pampa shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Pampa. Sales Growth has a rank of 92 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 92% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 93. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 45, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 55% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 21, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 80, is a BUY recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 93% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Pampa Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | June 15, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 51 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 66 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 62 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 67 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), the company Pampa has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Pampa is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Pampa. Leverage is at 51, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 51% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 66, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 66% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 62, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 62% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Pampa has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Pampa Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 15, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 26 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 80 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 62 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 54 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Pampa (Electric Utilities, Argentina) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Pampa are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 26 (worse than 74% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 80) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 67, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Pampa's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Pampa exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 26), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 80). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 67) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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