January 9, 2025
Top 10 Stock Parque Arauco Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Parque Arauco – Top 10 Stock in Indice de Precio Selectivo de Acciones
Parque Arauco is listed as a top 10 stock on January 09, 2025 in the market index IPSA because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. The company is growing above average and professional investor sentiment is positive. Both are encouraging signals for a stock purchase decision, albeit at an above-average share price. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 46 (46% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Parque Arauco on January 09, 2025.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
Country | Chile |
Industry | Real Estate: Operating Services |
Index | IPSA, R/E Growth Markets |
Size class | Medium |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Parque Arauco Hold
360 METRICS | January 9, 2025 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 49 |
|
||||||
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 51 |
|
||||||
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 6 |
|
||||||
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | 87 |
|
||||||
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | 46 |
|
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 46 (better than 46% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Parque Arauco are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Parque Arauco. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 51, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 51% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a good rank of 87, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 87% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 49, which means that the share price of Parque Arauco is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 51% of alternative stocks in the same industry. Finally, the consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 6, which means that the company has a financing structure that is riskier than those of 94% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 46, Parque Arauco is worse than 54% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, so one needs to take a close look. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 51), and professional market sentiment is positive (Sentiment Rank of 87), but value and safety are below average. The Safety Rank is the least significant of the four consolidated ranks, because it only reflects financing practices. In the case of high growth, aggressive financing is a good thing. So the question is: How to assess below-average value against above-average growth and sentiment? Growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale in this case, which is reflected in institutional investors' opinions. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much do you sacrifice value for growth? You can use the following rule of thumb: If you take 100 minus the growth rank, you arrive at a possibly minimum level for the value rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the growth rank is above 60. Sometimes market sentiment just extrapolates the past, but sometimes it reflects reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Parque Arauco very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2025, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Parque Arauco is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all four indicators above average for Parque Arauco. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 50 (better than 50% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive with a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better and recommending investing in the company. They are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Parque Arauco. The Professional Investors rank is 97, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 97% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Finally, Market Pulse has a rank of 85 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 85% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 87 (more positive than 87% compared with investment alternatives), Parque Arauco has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Since all market sentiment indicators are positive, the professional community highly recommends investment in the company. Does this mean Parque Arauco stocks are a safe investment? Far from it. Even professionals make mistakes. Especially in stock investing, there is a tendency to follow the leaders. Since trees don't grow to the heavens, such positive sentiment may also be interpreted as a danger sign. A lot of optimism can often be a sign of troubles to come, albeit unforeseen by most. ...read more
Value Strategy: Parque Arauco Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with alternatives), Parque Arauco shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Parque Arauco. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 52% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 52), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 64, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 64% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 23 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 77% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Parque Arauco's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for Parque Arauco with a rank of 28. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 72% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Parque Arauco's profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Parque Arauco's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, Parque Arauco may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Parque Arauco Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Parque Arauco shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Parque Arauco. Capital Growth has a rank of 89, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 9% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 83 (above 83% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 27, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 73% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 9. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Parque Arauco, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Parque Arauco Debt Financing Safety risky
SAFETY METRICS | January 9, 2025 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 49 |
|
||||||
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 10 |
|
||||||
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 28 |
|
||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 6 |
|
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 6 (better than 6% compared with alternatives), the company Parque Arauco has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Parque Arauco is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Parque Arauco. Liquidity is at 28, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 72% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 49, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 51% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 10 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 90% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with alternatives), Parque Arauco has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: Parque Arauco Lowest Financial Performance
COMBINED PERFORMANCE | January 9, 2025 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 49 |
|
||||||
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 51 |
|
||||||
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 28 |
|
||||||
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 6 |
|
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Parque Arauco (Real Estate: Operating Services, Chile) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Parque Arauco are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 6, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 51). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 6, is a sell recommendation based on Parque Arauco's financial characteristics. As the company Parque Arauco shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (51% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 51% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 51). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 6 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Parque Arauco, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.