September 19, 2024
Top 10 Stock Patterson Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Patterson – Top 10 Stock in S&P Mid-Cap Index
Patterson is listed as a top 10 stock on September 19, 2024 in the market index S&P MIDCAP because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 45 (45% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Patterson on September 19, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Health Care Distributors |
| Index | Dividends USA, NASDAQ, D.J. US Health Care, S&P MIDCAP |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Patterson Hold
| 360 METRICS | September 19, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 95 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 14 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 80 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 11 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 45 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Patterson are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Patterson. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 95, which means that the share price of Patterson is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 95% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 80. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 11. Professional investors are more confident in 89% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 14, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 86 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 45, Patterson is worse than 55% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 95), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 80). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 11), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 14). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Patterson negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Patterson is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half the indicators below and half above average for Patterson. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 10 (worse than 90% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 4, which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. In addition, the Professional Investors rank is 13, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 87% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. The only positive sentiment indicator for Patterson is Market Pulse, with a rank of 98, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 98% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 11 (less encouraging than 89% compared with investment alternatives), Patterson has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. This is an ambiguous picture: analysts are negative and getting even more critical while the news in the market is positive. Who should investors believe? This is a difficult question in such a situation. Investors should proceed cautiously and verify not only the financial performance in the Obermatt Value, Growth and Safety Ranks but also independent news coverage of the company. ...read more
Value Strategy: Patterson Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Patterson shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Patterson. Price-to-Sales is 84 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 84% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Patterson's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 95% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 65. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Patterson are expected to be higher than for 100% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 100). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 95, is a buy recommendation based on Patterson's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Patterson based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Patterson Growth Momentum negative
| GROWTH METRICS | September 19, 2024 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 13 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 23 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 67 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 17 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 14 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 14 (better than 14% compared with alternatives), Patterson shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Patterson. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 67, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 23% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 13 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 87% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 23 and Stock Returns with a rank of 17 are also low (below 83% of alternative investments). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 14, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Patterson is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Patterson Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | September 19, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 52 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 82 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 51 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 80 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Patterson has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Patterson is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Patterson. Leverage is at 52, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 52% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 82, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 82% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 51, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 51% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives), Patterson has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Patterson Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | September 19, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 95 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 14 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 51 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 89 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with investment alternatives), Patterson (Health Care Distributors, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Patterson are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 95 (better than 95% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 80, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 14). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 89, is a strong buy recommendation based on Patterson's financial characteristics. As the company Patterson's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 95) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 14) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 80), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 95% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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