Fact based stock research
Pick n Pay Stores (JSE:PIK)

ZAE000005443

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Pick n Pay Stores stock research in summary

picknpayinvestor.co.za

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Pick n Pay Stores (Food Retail, South Africa) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Pick n Pay Stores are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 19 (worse than 81% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 6, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 57). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 6, is a sell recommendation based on Pick n Pay Stores's financial characteristics. As the company Pick n Pay Stores shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 19 (81% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 57% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 57). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 6 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Pick n Pay Stores, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	19
Growth Rank	57
Safety Rank	6
Combined Rank	6

Country	South Africa
Industry	Food Retail
Index	Low Emissions, Good Governace Growth Markets, Low Waste, Recycling, JSE All Shares
Size class	X-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Pick n Pay Stores

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	72	65	59	19
GROWTH
GROWTH	72	23	1	57
SAFETY
SAFETY	54	1	6	6
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	59	1	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	19	1	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 25-Feb-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Pick n Pay Stores is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	72	65	59	19
GROWTH
GROWTH	72	23	1	57
SAFETY
SAFETY	54	1	6	6
COMBINED
COMBINED	73	9	1	6

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Pick n Pay Stores the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 19 (worse than 81% compared with alternatives), Pick n Pay Stores shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Pick n Pay Stores. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 85, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 85% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Pick n Pay Stores's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 1, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 99% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 70% of alternatives (only 30% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 19, is a sell recommendation based on Pick n Pay Stores's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Pick n Pay Stores could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Pick n Pay Stores looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	86	84	97	85
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	65	66	40	1
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	6	18	37	30
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	78	75	59	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	72	65	59	19

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Pick n Pay Stores; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Pick n Pay Stores shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Pick n Pay Stores. Profit Growth has a rank of 82, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 82% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 67 (above 67% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 31, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 69% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 38. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Pick n Pay Stores. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	75	23	45	31
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	42	34	4	82
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	40	10	38
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	86	57	3	67
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	72	23	1	57

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Pick n Pay Stores.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 6 (better than 6% compared with alternatives), the company Pick n Pay Stores has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Pick n Pay Stores is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Pick n Pay Stores. Liquidity is at 8, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 1, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 99% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 24 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 76% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with alternatives), Pick n Pay Stores has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Pick n Pay Stores because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	42	1	2	1
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	60	7	7	24
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	60	14	16	8
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	54	1	6	6

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Pick n Pay Stores and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	56	1	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	11	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	61	17	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	42	14	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	59	1	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Pick n Pay Stores.
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