August 17, 2023
Top 10 Stock SABESP Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: SABESP – Top 10 Stock in Bolsa de Valores-Mercadorias | BOVESPA
SABESP is listed as a top 10 stock on August 17, 2023 in the market index BOVESPA because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 64 (high 64% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for SABESP on August 17, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Brazil |
| Industry | Water Utilities |
| Index | BOVESPA, SDG 6, Water Tech |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View SABESP Buy
| 360 METRICS | August 17, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 58 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 60 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 39 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 81 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 64 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 64 (better than 64% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock SABESP are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for SABESP. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 58, which means that the share price of SABESP is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 58% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 60, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 81. But the company’s financing is risky with a Safety rank of 39. This means 61% of comparable companies have a safer financing structure than SABESP. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 64, SABESP is better positioned than 64% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 58), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 60), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 81), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely, unless information not publicly available. Only the company financing structure is on the riskier side (Safety Rank of 39), but that would also mean better returns for shareholders if things work out well. Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. If they have been growing above average and are still a good value, it may indicate that this will not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of SABESP is as difficult as the low price of the stock, despite good growth and positive professional investor sentiment, suggests. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock is just not sufficiently visible right now, which may indicate good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for SABESP very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock SABESP is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for SABESP. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 76 (better than 76% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 54, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting even more optimistic about investments in SABESP. Finally, the Professional Investors rank is 81, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 81% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 81 (more positive than 81% compared with investment alternatives), SABESP has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But there is also a signal for caution. Market Pulse has a rank of 43, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 57% of competitors). This could mean future risks and should make investors careful. Attention to negative news for SABESP is worthwhile because they may be early warning signals. Without those, all other professional signals are encouraging, especially since analysts are getting more optimistic. ...read more
Value Strategy: SABESP Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), SABESP shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for SABESP. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 69 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning SABESP's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 63, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 63% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than for 53% of alternatives (only 47% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than for 58% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 58, is a buy recommendation based on SABESP's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high concerning expected revenues, the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting Group or BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than distribute it to shareholders through dividends, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. ...read more
Growth Strategy: SABESP Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with alternatives), SABESP shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for SABESP. Sales Growth has a rank of 61 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 61% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 32% of competitors with a rank of 59, and Stock Returns with the rank of 67 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 32 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 68% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 60, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, SABESP is a good growth stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: SABESP Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | August 17, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 59 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 20 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 61 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 39 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), the company SABESP has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of SABESP is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for SABESP. Leverage is at a rank of 59, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 59% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 61, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 20, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 80% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 39 (worse than 61% compared with alternatives), SABESP has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for SABESP. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: SABESP Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | August 17, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 58 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 60 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 61 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 49 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with investment alternatives), SABESP (Water Utilities, Brazil) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of SABESP are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 58 (better than 58% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 60) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 39), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on SABESP's financial characteristics. As the company SABESP's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 58) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 60), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 39) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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