June 6, 2024
Top 10 Stock Safaricom Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Safaricom – Top 10 Stock in Good Governance in Growth Markets
Safaricom is listed as a top 10 stock on June 06, 2024 in the market index Good Governace Growth Markets because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, including positive market sentiment in the professional investor community, it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 100 (top 100% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Safaricom on June 06, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Kenya |
| Industry | Wireless Telecommunication |
| Index | Good Governace Growth Markets |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Safaricom Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | June 6, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 74 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 53 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 86 |
|
||||||
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 96 |
|
||||||
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 100 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Safaricom are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all four indicators above average for Safaricom. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 74, which means that the share price of Safaricom is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 74% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 53, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 86. Finally, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 96. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 100, Safaricom is better positioned than 100% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 74), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53), safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 86), and a positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 96), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited and disappointments are less likely to occur, unless information not publicly available. High-Value Ranks sometimes indicate that the company's future is challenging. If they are safely financed and have above average growth, and are still a good value, it may indicate that this will not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Safaricom is as difficult as the stock’s low price, despite what good growth and safe financing practice suggest. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock is just not sufficiently visible, which may indicate good timing right now. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Safaricom very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Safaricom is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all four indicators above average for Safaricom. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 93 (better than 93% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive with a rank of 87, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better and recommending investing in the company. They are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Safaricom. The Professional Investors rank is 88, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 88% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Finally, Market Pulse has a rank of 52 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 52% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 96 (more positive than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Safaricom has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Since all market sentiment indicators are positive, the professional community highly recommends investment in the company. Does this mean Safaricom stocks are a safe investment? Far from it. Even professionals make mistakes. Especially in stock investing, there is a tendency to follow the leaders. Since trees don't grow to the heavens, such positive sentiment may also be interpreted as a danger sign. A lot of optimism can often be a sign of troubles to come, albeit unforeseen by most. ...read more
Value Strategy: Safaricom Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), Safaricom shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Safaricom. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 86 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 86% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Safaricom's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 34, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 34% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 52% of alternatives (only 48% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 8% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 74, is a buy recommendation based on Safaricom's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Safaricom Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Safaricom shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Safaricom. Sales Growth has a rank of 70 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 70% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 13% of competitors with a rank of 80, and Stock Returns with the rank of 52 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 13 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 87% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, Safaricom is a good growth stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Safaricom Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | June 6, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 82 |
|
||||||
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 29 |
|
||||||
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 97 |
|
||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 86 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Safaricom has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Safaricom is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Safaricom. Leverage is at a rank of 82, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 82% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 97, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 97% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 29, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 71% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives), Safaricom has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Safaricom. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Safaricom Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 6, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 74 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 53 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 97 |
|
||||||
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 98 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with investment alternatives), Safaricom (Wireless Telecommunication, Kenya) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Safaricom are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 74 (better than 74% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 86), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 98, is a strong buy recommendation based on Safaricom's financial characteristics. As the company Safaricom's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 74), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 53), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 86), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Safaricom. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.