Fact based stock research
Semapa (ENXTLS:SEM)

PTSEM0AM0004

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Semapa stock research in summary

semapa.pt

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 40 (worse than 60% compared with investment alternatives), Semapa (Paper Products, Portugal) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Semapa are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 92 (better than 92% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 37), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 10), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 40, is a hold recommendation based on Semapa's financial characteristics. As the company Semapa's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 92) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 37) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 10), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 92% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	92
Growth Rank	37
Safety Rank	10
Combined Rank	40

Country	Portugal
Industry	Paper Products
Index	Low Emissions, Dividends Europe, Energy Efficient, PSI General
Size class	Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Semapa

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	96	77	94	92
GROWTH
GROWTH	51	39	19	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	1	11	42	10
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	52	65	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	29	65	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Semapa is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	96	77	94	92
GROWTH
GROWTH	51	39	19	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	1	11	42	10
COMBINED
COMBINED	38	27	58	40

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Semapa the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Semapa shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Semapa. Price-to-Sales is 78 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 78% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Semapa's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 92% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 62. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Semapa are expected to be higher than for 63% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 63). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 92, is a buy recommendation based on Semapa's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Semapa based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	81	83	82	78
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	79	46	75	92
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	78	78	67	62
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	69	60	84	63
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	96	77	94	92

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Semapa; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), Semapa shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Semapa. Sales Growth has a rank of 77 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 77% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 65. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 4, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 96% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 39, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 65% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	22	20	18	77
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	20	45	46	39
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	43	4	4
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	76	75	65	65
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	51	39	19	37

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Semapa.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), the company Semapa has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Semapa is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Semapa. Liquidity is at 53, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 53% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 4, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 96% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 19, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 81% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with alternatives), Semapa has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	6	12	8	19
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	10	39	57	4
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	27	28	62	53
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	1	11	42	10

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Semapa and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	75	83	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	82	60	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	4	42	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	52	65	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Semapa.
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