June 13, 2024
Top 10 Stock Shinsei Bank Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Shinsei Bank – Top 10 Stock in SDG 9: Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
Shinsei Bank is listed as a top 10 stock on June 13, 2024 in the market index SDG 9 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. While the company shows high growth, the stock price is high yet professional investor sentiment is low, which may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior, reflected in a low stock price value. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 67 (high 67% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Shinsei Bank on June 13, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Shinsei Bank Buy
| 360 METRICS | June 13, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 47 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 93 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 86 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 21 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 67 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Shinsei Bank are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Shinsei Bank. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 93, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 93% of competitors in the same industry. In addition, the consolidated Safety Rank has a safer rank of 86 which means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 86% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 47 which means that the share price of Shinsei Bank is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is higher than for 53% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 21, which means that professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 79% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 67, Shinsei Bank is better positioned than 67% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, the picture is ambiguous. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 93), and the company is safely financed (Safety Rank of 86). However, professional market sentiment is low(Sentiment Rank of 21). The negative market view on Shinsei Bank may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to board the train, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. It is typical for growth companies to have low value ratings, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Shinsei Bank compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one hundred minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the value rank is above 60. As market sentiment is low, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company’s future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Shinsei Bank negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 21 (better than 21% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Shinsei Bank is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Shinsei Bank. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 31 (worse than 69% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 81, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Shinsei Bank. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 29, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 71% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 5, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 95% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 21 (less encouraging than 79% compared with investment alternatives), Shinsei Bank has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more
Value Strategy: Shinsei Bank Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with alternatives), Shinsei Bank shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Shinsei Bank. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 67, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 67% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Shinsei Bank's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 53% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 69. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 3% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Shinsei Bank (a Dividend Yield Rank of 3). 97% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on Shinsei Bank's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Shinsei Bank Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Shinsei Bank shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Shinsei Bank. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 100, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 100% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 38, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 62% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 31 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 11 (89% of alternative investments were better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 93, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Shinsei Bank Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | June 13, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 82 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 57 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 71 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 86 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company Shinsei Bank has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Shinsei Bank is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Shinsei Bank. Leverage is at 82, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 82% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 57, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 57% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 71, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 71% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives), Shinsei Bank has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Shinsei Bank Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 13, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 47 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 93 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 71 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 90 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with investment alternatives), Shinsei Bank (Regional Banks, Japan) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Shinsei Bank are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 93) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 86, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 90, is a strong buy recommendation based on Shinsei Bank's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Shinsei Bank exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 47), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 93). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 86) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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