June 15, 2023
Top 10 Stock SimCorp Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: SimCorp – Top 10 Stock in OMX Copenhagen 20
SimCorp is listed as a top 10 stock on June 15, 2023 in the market index OMX C20 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only one consolidated Obermatt Rank is above-average. The company is safely financed, but all other facts speak against a stock purchase, especially the low market sentiment by professional investors. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 26 (26% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for SimCorp on June 15, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View SimCorp Hold
| 360 METRICS | June 15, 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 15 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 34 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 87 |
|
||||||
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 31 |
|
||||||
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 26 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 26 (better than 26% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock SimCorp are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for SimCorp. The only rank that is above average is the consolidated Safety Rank at 87, which means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than those of 87% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. But the Value, Growth and Sentiment Ranks are all below average. The consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 15, which means that the share price of SimCorp is on the high side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 34, which implies that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank is also low at a rank of 31, which means that professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 69% of alternative investment opportunities. While Safety is strong, it’s not the most critical indicator, so we suggest proceeding with caution if you are considering this stock. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 26, SimCorp is worse than 74% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only the financing structure, namely the Safety Rank, is on the safer side and all other consolidated Obermatt Ranks are below-average, this is a riskier stock investment proposition. This is especially the case, since professional investor sentiment, the consolidated Obermatt Sentiment Rank, is also low at 31. The negative market view on SimCorp may be the high stock price (low value) or the low level of growth. This is a problem. As the Safety Rank is the least significant of the four, we cannot identify enough positive facts that are visible today to make a case for this stock investment. The company may have a strong future which would justify the high stock price, but this is not visible from investor behavior today. As market sentiment is critical, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock, and conduct further research into the company's future growth potential. Prudent investors may only want to invest a smaller portion of their wealth in such situations. Young investors can carry more risk but should still thrive for sufficient diversification. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for SimCorp only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 31 (better than 31% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock SimCorp is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for SimCorp. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 5 (worse than 95% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 65, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in SimCorp. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 39, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 61% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 48, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 52% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 31 (less encouraging than 69% compared with investment alternatives), SimCorp has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more
Value Strategy: SimCorp Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with alternatives), SimCorp shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for SimCorp. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 54% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 7 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 93% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning SimCorp's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 19 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 81% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 14 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 86% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 15, is a SELL recommendation based on SimCorp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick SimCorp? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose SimCorp only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. ...read more
Growth Strategy: SimCorp Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 34 (better than 34% compared with alternatives), SimCorp shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for SimCorp. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 39, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 61% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 11, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 19. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 81% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 97, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 97% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 34, is a HOLD recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for SimCorp, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: SimCorp Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | June 15, 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 75 |
|
||||||
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 56 |
|
||||||
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 92 |
|
||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 87 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company SimCorp has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of SimCorp is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for SimCorp. Leverage is at 75, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 75% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 56, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 56% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 92, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives), SimCorp has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: SimCorp Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 15, 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 15 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 34 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 92 |
|
||||||
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 39 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 39 (worse than 61% compared with investment alternatives), SimCorp (Application Software, Denmark) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of SimCorp are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 34) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 87), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation based on SimCorp's financial characteristics. As the company SimCorp's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 15) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 34), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 87) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. ...read more
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.