September 19, 2024
Top 10 Stock TELUS Buy Recommendation

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For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).

360° View: Obermatt 360° View TELUS Buy

360 METRICS	September 19, 2024
VALUE
VALUE	37
GROWTH
GROWTH	59
SAFETY
SAFETY	37
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	78
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	65

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock TELUS are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for TELUS. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 59, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 59% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a good rank of 78, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 78% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 37, which means that the share price of TELUS is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 63% of alternative stocks in the same industry. Finally, the consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 37, which means that the company has a financing structure that is riskier than those of 63% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 65, TELUS is better positioned than 65% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, so one needs to take a close look. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 59), and professional market sentiment is positive (Sentiment Rank of 78), but value and safety are below average. The Safety Rank is the least significant of the four consolidated ranks, because it only reflects financing practices. In the case of high growth, aggressive financing is a good thing. So the question is: How to assess below-average value against above-average growth and sentiment? Growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale in this case, which is reflected in institutional investors' opinions. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much do you sacrifice value for growth? You can use the following rule of thumb: If you take 100 minus the growth rank, you arrive at a possibly minimum level for the value rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the growth rank is above 60. Sometimes market sentiment just extrapolates the past, but sometimes it reflects reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more

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Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for TELUS very positive

SENTIMENT METRICS	September 19, 2024
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION	60
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	50
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	76
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	85
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	78

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock TELUS is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all four indicators above average for TELUS. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 60 (better than 60% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive with a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better and recommending investing in the company. They are getting more optimistic about stock investments in TELUS. The Professional Investors rank is 76, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 76% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Finally, Market Pulse has a rank of 85 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 85% of competitors). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 78 (more positive than 78% compared with investment alternatives), TELUS has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Since all market sentiment indicators are positive, the professional community highly recommends investment in the company. Does this mean TELUS stocks are a safe investment? Far from it. Even professionals make mistakes. Especially in stock investing, there is a tendency to follow the leaders. Since trees don't grow to the heavens, such positive sentiment may also be interpreted as a danger sign. A lot of optimism can often be a sign of troubles to come, albeit unforeseen by most. ...read more

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Value Strategy: TELUS Stock Price Value below-average critical

VALUE METRICS	September 19, 2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	33
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	17
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	44
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	94
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	37

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with alternatives), TELUS shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for TELUS. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 94% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 33 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 67% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning TELUS's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 17 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 83% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 44 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 56% of comparable investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on TELUS's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick TELUS? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose TELUS only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. ...read more

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Growth Strategy: TELUS Growth Momentum good

GROWTH METRICS	September 19, 2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	55
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	46
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	33
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	57
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	59

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), TELUS shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for TELUS. Sales Growth has a rank of 55 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 55% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 57. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 33, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 67% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 46, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 57% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. ...read more

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Safety Strategy: TELUS Debt Financing Safety below-average

SAFETY METRICS	September 19, 2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	46
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	27
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	49
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	37

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), the company TELUS has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of TELUS is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for TELUS. Liquidity is at 49, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 51% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 46, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 54% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 27 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 73% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with alternatives), TELUS has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.

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Combined financial peformance: TELUS Below-Average Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE	September 19, 2024
VALUE
VALUE	37
GROWTH
GROWTH	59
SAFETY
SAFETY	49
COMBINED
COMBINED	45

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with investment alternatives), TELUS (Integrated Telecommunication, Canada) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of TELUS are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 37 (worse than 63% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 37, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 59). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation based on TELUS's financial characteristics. As the company TELUS shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 37 (63% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 59% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 59). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 37 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for TELUS, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more

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