May 2, 2024
Top 10 Stock Thai Beverage Sell Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: Thai Beverage – Top 10 Stock in Straits Times Index STI


thaibev.com


Thai Beverage is listed as a top 10 stock on May 02, 2024 in the market index STI because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 10 (10% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Thai Beverage on May 02, 2024.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Thailand
Industry Distillers & Vintners
Index STI
Size class X-Large
Latest Research


Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View Thai Beverage Sell

360 METRICS May 2, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Thai Beverage are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Thai Beverage. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 74, which means that the share price of Thai Beverage is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 74% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 12, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 10, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 90% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 64% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 36. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 10, Thai Beverage is worse than 90% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Thai Beverage shares are on the riskier side for investors. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 74. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 12), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 10), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 36) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Thai Beverage is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of Thai Beverage. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Thai Beverage only reserved

SENTIMENT METRICS May 2, 2024
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 36 (better than 36% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Thai Beverage is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Thai Beverage. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 75 (better than 75% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. This is a good sign, were it not for Analyst Opinions Change with a low rank of 45, which means that currently, stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse. In other words, they are getting more critical of a stock investment in Thai Beverage. The Professional Investors rank is also low at 36, meaning that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 64% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Even worse, Market Pulse has a low rank of 37, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are critical of this company (more negative news than for 63% of competitors). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 36 (less encouraging than 64% compared with investment alternatives), Thai Beverage has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. There are several negative sentiment signals, with only the Analyst Opinions Rank above average. This could be a stock with a long reputation for being positive but where things are worsening. Most analysts may not see it yet, but some have, and the professionals are already quite pessimistic. Proceed with caution when investing in this stock. ...read more



Value Strategy: Thai Beverage Stock Price Value better than average

VALUE METRICS May 2, 2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), Thai Beverage shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Thai Beverage. Price-to-Sales is 56 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 56% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Thai Beverage's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 67% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 65. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Thai Beverage are expected to be higher than for 80% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 80). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 74, is a buy recommendation based on Thai Beverage's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Thai Beverage based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: Thai Beverage Growth Momentum negative

GROWTH METRICS May 2, 2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 12 (better than 12% compared with alternatives), Thai Beverage shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Thai Beverage. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 54, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 23% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 26 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 74% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 23 and Stock Returns with a rank of 16 are also low (below 84% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 12, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Thai Beverage is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. ...read more



Safety Strategy: Thai Beverage Debt Financing Safety risky

SAFETY METRICS May 2, 2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), the company Thai Beverage has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Thai Beverage is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Thai Beverage. Liquidity is at 34, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 66% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 25, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 75% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 32 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 68% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with alternatives), Thai Beverage has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.



Combined financial peformance: Thai Beverage Lowest Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE May 2, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with investment alternatives), Thai Beverage (Distillers & Vintners, Thailand) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Thai Beverage are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 74 (better than 74% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 12), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 10), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation based on Thai Beverage's financial characteristics. As the company Thai Beverage's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 74) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 12) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 10), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 74% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more

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