November 21, 2024
Top 10 Stock Thungela Resources Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Thungela Resources – Top 10 Stock in Johannesburg Securities Exchange All Shares Index JSE All Shares
Thungela Resources is listed as a top 10 stock on November 21, 2024 in the market index JSE All Shares because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 55 (high 55% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Thungela Resources on November 21, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Coal & Consumable Fuels |
| Index | JSE All Shares |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Thungela Resources Buy
| 360 METRICS | November 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 79 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 96 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 27 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 55 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Thungela Resources are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Thungela Resources. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 79, which means that the share price of Thungela Resources is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 79% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 96. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 27. Professional investors are more confident in 73% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 15, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 85 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 55, Thungela Resources is better positioned than 55% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 79), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 96). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 27), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 15). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Thungela Resources only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Thungela Resources is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Thungela Resources. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 30 (worse than 70% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 60, which means that stock research experts are more positive in their investment recommendations in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Thungela Resources. More encouragingly, the Professional Investors rank is 50, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 50% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But Market Pulse is on the lower side with a rank of 16, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 84% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 27 (less encouraging than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Thungela Resources has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. The sentiment signals are mixed for Thungela Resources. While analysts and the news channels are negative, there is a change in what analysts think. Above-average institutional investors in this company support them. Sentiment signals remain mixed with analysts and news channels pessimistic, though improving, and professional investors above average. ...read more
Value Strategy: Thungela Resources Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Thungela Resources shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Thungela Resources. Price-to-Sales is 72 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 72% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Thungela Resources's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 77% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 76. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Thungela Resources are expected to be higher than for 69% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 69). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 79, is a buy recommendation based on Thungela Resources's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Thungela Resources based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Thungela Resources Growth Momentum negative
| GROWTH METRICS | November 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 40 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 14 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 12 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 29 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 15 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), Thungela Resources shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Thungela Resources. Sales Growth has a rank of 40, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 60% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 14, and Capital Growth with 12. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 29, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 71% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Thungela Resources Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | November 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 96 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 81 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 84 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 96 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Thungela Resources has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Thungela Resources is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Thungela Resources. Leverage is at 96, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 96% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 81, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 84, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 84% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives), Thungela Resources has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Thungela Resources Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | November 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 79 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 84 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 74 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with investment alternatives), Thungela Resources (Coal & Consumable Fuels, South Africa) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Thungela Resources are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 96, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 74, is a buy recommendation based on Thungela Resources's financial characteristics. As the company Thungela Resources's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 96), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 79% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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