Fact based stock research
Toho Gas (TSE:9533)
JP3600200004
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Toho Gas stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Toho Gas (Gas Utilities, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Toho Gas are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 33 (worse than 67% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 57) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 97, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation based on Toho Gas's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Toho Gas exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 33), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 57). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 97) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Gas Utilities |
| Index | |
| Size class | X-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Toho Gas
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 56 |
|
29 |
|
51 |
|
33 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 9 |
|
13 |
|
17 |
|
57 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 56 |
|
84 |
|
91 |
|
97 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
22 |
|
33 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
13 |
|
41 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Toho Gas (Gas Utilities, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Toho Gas are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 33 (worse than 67% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 57) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 97, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation based on Toho Gas's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Toho Gas exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 33), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 57). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 97) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 56 |
|
29 |
|
51 |
|
33 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 9 |
|
13 |
|
17 |
|
57 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 56 |
|
84 |
|
91 |
|
97 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 25 |
|
24 |
|
53 |
|
71 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 33 (worse than 67% compared with alternatives), Toho Gas shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Toho Gas. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 59, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 59% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Toho Gas's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 69% of alternatives (31% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 24 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 76% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 29, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 33, is a hold recommendation based on Toho Gas's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Toho Gas may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 89 |
|
59 |
|
72 |
|
59 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 3 |
|
31 |
|
46 |
|
29 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 81 |
|
67 |
|
81 |
|
69 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 28 |
|
29 |
|
29 |
|
24 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 56 |
|
29 |
|
51 |
|
33 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Toho Gas shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Toho Gas. Capital Growth has a rank of 55, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 28% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 91 (above 91% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 15, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 85% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 28. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Toho Gas, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 12 |
|
29 |
|
20 |
|
15 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 9 |
|
30 |
|
28 |
|
28 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
41 |
|
45 |
|
55 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 13 |
|
3 |
|
53 |
|
91 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 9 |
|
13 |
|
17 |
|
57 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Toho Gas has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Toho Gas is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Toho Gas. Leverage is at 88, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 88% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 75, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 88, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 88% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives), Toho Gas has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Toho Gas but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 62 |
|
76 |
|
72 |
|
88 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 87 |
|
69 |
|
79 |
|
75 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 21 |
|
74 |
|
82 |
|
88 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 56 |
|
84 |
|
91 |
|
97 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
5 |
|
24 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
76 |
|
71 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
26 |
|
28 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
22 |
|
33 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Toho Gas from November 14, 2024.
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