Fact based stock research
Tokio Marine (TSE:8766)
JP3910660004
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Tokio Marine stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with investment alternatives), Tokio Marine (Property & Casualty Insurance, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Tokio Marine are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 89) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 74, is a buy recommendation based on Tokio Marine's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Tokio Marine exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 89). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Japan |
Industry | Property & Casualty Insurance |
Index | TOPIX 100, Nikkei 225 |
Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Tokio Marine
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 54 |
|
29 |
|
36 |
|
27 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 68 |
|
66 |
|
35 |
|
89 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 76 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
46 |
|
98 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
51 |
|
62 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with investment alternatives), Tokio Marine (Property & Casualty Insurance, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Tokio Marine are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 89) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 74, is a buy recommendation based on Tokio Marine's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Tokio Marine exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 89). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 54 |
|
29 |
|
36 |
|
27 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 68 |
|
66 |
|
35 |
|
89 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 76 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 59 |
|
74 |
|
74 |
|
74 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), Tokio Marine shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half are above average for Tokio Marine. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 73, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 73% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Tokio Marine's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 50% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 24 (dividends are expected to be higher than for 24% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 81% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Tokio Marine to 19. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Tokio Marine's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner on assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities, or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the low Dividend Yield is also explained as such companies tend to invest their income into market development. The other good value ranks for Sales and Profits are encouraging indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 60 |
|
69 |
|
72 |
|
73 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 31 |
|
28 |
|
38 |
|
50 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 57 |
|
39 |
|
24 |
|
19 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 66 |
|
43 |
|
46 |
|
24 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 54 |
|
29 |
|
36 |
|
27 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Tokio Marine shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Tokio Marine. Profit Growth has a rank of 85 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 85% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 93, and Stock Returns has a rank of 93 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 93% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 18 (82% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 89, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 36 |
|
46 |
|
34 |
|
18 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 9 |
|
96 |
|
70 |
|
85 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
39 |
|
13 |
|
93 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 69 |
|
59 |
|
79 |
|
93 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 68 |
|
66 |
|
35 |
|
89 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2022, the company Tokio Marine has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Tokio Marine is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Tokio Marine. Leverage is at a rank of 93, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 93% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 82, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 82% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 12, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives), Tokio Marine has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Tokio Marine. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Tokio Marine and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 94 |
|
80 |
|
93 |
|
93 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 13 |
|
12 |
|
12 |
|
12 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 100 |
|
80 |
|
96 |
|
82 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 76 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
81 |
|
49 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
29 |
|
94 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
10 |
|
100 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
74 |
|
71 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
46 |
|
98 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Tokio Marine from December 19, 2024.
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