Fact based stock research
Tourmaline Oil (TSX:TOU)
CA89156V1067
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Tourmaline Oil stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with investment alternatives), Tourmaline Oil (Oil & Gas Production, Canada) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Tourmaline Oil are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 33 (worse than 67% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 92, is a strong buy recommendation based on Tourmaline Oil's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Tourmaline Oil exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 33), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 85). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Canada |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Production |
| Index | Oil & Gas, TSX Composite |
| Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Tourmaline Oil
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 41 |
|
51 |
|
20 |
|
33 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 58 |
|
29 |
|
57 |
|
85 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 79 |
|
97 |
|
94 |
|
92 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
91 |
|
94 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
89 |
|
86 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with investment alternatives), Tourmaline Oil (Oil & Gas Production, Canada) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Tourmaline Oil are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 33 (worse than 67% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 92, is a strong buy recommendation based on Tourmaline Oil's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Tourmaline Oil exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 33), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 85). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 41 |
|
51 |
|
20 |
|
33 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 58 |
|
29 |
|
57 |
|
85 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 79 |
|
97 |
|
94 |
|
92 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 67 |
|
67 |
|
71 |
|
92 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 33 (worse than 67% compared with alternatives), Tourmaline Oil shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Tourmaline Oil. Only Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) indicates good stock value with a rank of 58, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 58% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Tourmaline Oil's profit levels. But Price-to-Sales is 19 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 81% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Tourmaline Oil's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 43 and for dividend yield, which is lower than for 55% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 33, is a hold recommendation based on Tourmaline Oil's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Can we rely on only one good value indicator? Only if we know the company well. In this case, a high Price-to-Profit Rank, while Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Book are both below the market typical levels, means that the company can charge higher prices for its products and needs less capital to produce them. If this is sustainable, then Tourmaline Oil is a good investment because profits count most in enterprise valuations. The low dividend yield indicates that the company is confident it can do something with the generated cash that is more valuable than paying the profits out to the shareholders in the form of dividends. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 21 |
|
28 |
|
22 |
|
19 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 53 |
|
59 |
|
37 |
|
58 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 33 |
|
76 |
|
38 |
|
43 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 57 |
|
43 |
|
46 |
|
45 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 41 |
|
51 |
|
20 |
|
33 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Tourmaline Oil shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Tourmaline Oil. Sales Growth has a rank of 90 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 90% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 39% of competitors with a rank of 92. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 39, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 61% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 35. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 85 |
|
43 |
|
75 |
|
90 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 69 |
|
69 |
|
45 |
|
39 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
22 |
|
53 |
|
92 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 61 |
|
53 |
|
43 |
|
35 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 58 |
|
29 |
|
57 |
|
85 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Tourmaline Oil has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Tourmaline Oil is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Tourmaline Oil. Leverage is at 88, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 88% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 56, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 56% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 90, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 90% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives), Tourmaline Oil has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Tourmaline Oil but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 71 |
|
95 |
|
94 |
|
88 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 33 |
|
57 |
|
60 |
|
56 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 85 |
|
97 |
|
97 |
|
90 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 79 |
|
97 |
|
94 |
|
92 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
90 |
|
93 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
13 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
98 |
|
81 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
78 |
|
54 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
91 |
|
94 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Tourmaline Oil from November 14, 2024.
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