October 10, 2024
Top 10 Stock UBS Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: UBS – Top 10 Stock in Diversity Leaders in Europe
UBS is listed as a top 10 stock on October 10, 2024 in the market index Diversity Europe because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only one consolidated Obermatt Rank is above-average. The company is growing above average, but all other facts speak against a stock purchase, especially the low market sentiment by professional investors. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 25 (25% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for UBS on October 10, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Switzerland |
| Industry | Diversified Capital Markets |
| Index | Diversity Europe, Renewables Users, SPI, SMI |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View UBS Hold
| 360 METRICS | October 10, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 1 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 94 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 25 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 36 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 25 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock UBS are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for UBS. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 94, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. It ranks higher than 94% of competitors in the same industry. The other indicators are below average, namely the Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks.The Value Rank at 1 means that the share price of UBS is on the high side compared with its peers regarding revenues, profits, and invested capital. The stock price is higher than for 99% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 25, which means that the company has a riskier financing structure than 75% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 36, indicating professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 64% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 25, UBS is worse than 75% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits excellent performance, namely the above-average growth (Growth Rank of 94), it is a riskier stock investment proposition. Aside from the critical professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 36), the company is rather risky when it comes to financing (Safety Rank of 25). The negative market view on UBS may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to join the party, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. While it is typical for growth companies to have low value, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that are expected to have high growth, the crucial question is: how much more do you pay for the stock of UBS compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value (even though it is lower than 50). As market sentiment is critical, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company's future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for UBS only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 36 (better than 36% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock UBS is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for UBS. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 11 (worse than 89% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 96, which means that stock research experts are more positive in their investment recommendations in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in UBS. More encouragingly, the Professional Investors rank is 63, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 63% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But Market Pulse is on the lower side with a rank of 4, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 96% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 36 (less encouraging than 64% compared with investment alternatives), UBS has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. The sentiment signals are mixed for UBS. While analysts and the news channels are negative, there is a change in what analysts think. Above-average institutional investors in this company support them. Sentiment signals remain mixed with analysts and news channels pessimistic, though improving, and professional investors above average. ...read more
Value Strategy: UBS Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 1 (worse than 99% compared with alternatives), UBS shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for UBS. Price-to-Sales is 45 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 55% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning UBS's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 48, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of UBS. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 1 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 1, is a sell recommendation based on UBS's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for UBS? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as UBS? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. UBS may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: UBS Growth Momentum high
| GROWTH METRICS | October 10, 2024 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 32 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 100 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 100 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 29 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 94 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2024, UBS shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for UBS. Profit Growth, with a rank of 100 (better than 100% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 100, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 32, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 68% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 29. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 94, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: UBS Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | October 10, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 41 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 1 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 70 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 25 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), the company UBS has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of UBS is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for UBS. Liquidity is at 70, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 70% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 1, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 99% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 41, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 59% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with alternatives), UBS has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: UBS Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | October 10, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 1 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 94 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 70 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 25 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with investment alternatives), UBS (Diversified Capital Markets, Switzerland) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of UBS are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 1 (worse than 99% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 25, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 94). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation based on UBS's financial characteristics. As the company UBS shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 1 (99% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 94% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 94). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 25 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for UBS, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
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