Fact based stock research
Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN)

US91879Q1094

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Vail Resorts stock research in summary

vailresorts.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Vail Resorts (Leisure Facilities, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Vail Resorts are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 43 (worse than 57% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 56), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on Vail Resorts's financial characteristics. As the company Vail Resorts's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 43) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 56) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	43
Growth Rank	45
Safety Rank	56
Combined Rank	37

Country	USA
Industry	Leisure Facilities
Index	Low Emissions, Dividends USA, Energy Efficient, Low Waste, Renewables Users, Recycling
Size class	Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Vail Resorts

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	17	33	30	43
GROWTH
GROWTH	73	7	49	45
SAFETY
SAFETY	72	88	60	56
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	29	8	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	18	19	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Jul-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Vail Resorts is in the corresponding investment strategy.
Upgrade to a Premium Account to access the latest ranks.

Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	17	33	30	43
GROWTH
GROWTH	73	7	49	45
SAFETY
SAFETY	72	88	60	56
COMBINED
COMBINED	41	29	42	37

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Vail Resorts the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 43 (worse than 57% compared with alternatives), Vail Resorts shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Vail Resorts. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 93% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 23 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 77% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Vail Resorts's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 32 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 68% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 20 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 80% of comparable investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 43, is a hold recommendation based on Vail Resorts's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Vail Resorts? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Vail Resorts only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	22	11	19	23
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	55	25	23	32
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	16	28	17	20
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	91	92	93
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	17	33	30	43

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Vail Resorts; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), Vail Resorts shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Vail Resorts. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 80, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 80% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 43, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 57% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 48 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 29 (71% of alternative investments were better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	58	35	54	43
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	79	53	67	80
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	10	49	48
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	67	39	29	29
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	73	7	49	45

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Vail Resorts.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with alternatives), the company Vail Resorts has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Vail Resorts is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Vail Resorts. Leverage is at 50, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 50% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 54, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 54% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 55, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 55% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with alternatives), Vail Resorts has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Vail Resorts but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	59	72	56	50
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	69	52	54	54
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	69	82	52	55
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	72	88	60	56

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Vail Resorts and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	8	19	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	39	36	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	99	22	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	22	35	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	29	8	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Vail Resorts.
Upgrade to a Premium Account to access the latest ranks.