April 11, 2024
Top 10 Stock Volkswagen VW Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Volkswagen VW – Top 10 Stock in Deutscher Aktienindex DAX 40
Volkswagen VW is listed as a top 10 stock on April 11, 2024 in the market index DAX 40 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low, despite a currently slow growth momentum. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 60 (high 60% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Volkswagen VW on April 11, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Germany |
| Industry | Automobile Manufacturers |
| Index | CDAX, DAX 40, EURO STOXX 50, Dividends Europe, Employee Focus EU, Diversity Europe, Human Rights |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Volkswagen VW Buy
| 360 METRICS | April 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 10 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 65 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 53 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 60 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 60 (better than 60% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Volkswagen VW are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Volkswagen VW. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 100, which means that the share price of Volkswagen VW is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 100% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 65. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 53. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 10, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth and momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. 90 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 60, Volkswagen VW is better positioned than 60% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks show above-average performance. The stock has as good value (Value Rank of 100), secure financing practices (Safety Rank of 65), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 53). It is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely to occur. The company’s growth expectations are below the industry average (Growth Rank of 10), but that could also be temporary since professional investors remain optimistic despite the low growth numbers. The low price as reflected in the good Value Rank could indicate that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this. Companies that grow less are typically cheaper than fast-growing competitors. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Volkswagen VW is as difficult as the stock’s low price suggests, despite the positive professional investor sentiment. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock may just go through a more challenging phase now, indicating good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Volkswagen VW positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Volkswagen VW is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Volkswagen VW. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 56 (better than 56% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 68, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting even more optimistic about investments in Volkswagen VW. Finally, the Professional Investors rank is 56, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 56% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 53 (more positive than 53% compared with investment alternatives), Volkswagen VW has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But there is also a signal for caution. Market Pulse has a rank of 22, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 78% of competitors). This could mean future risks and should make investors careful. Attention to negative news for Volkswagen VW is worthwhile because they may be early warning signals. Without those, all other professional signals are encouraging, especially since analysts are getting more optimistic. ...read more
Value Strategy: Volkswagen VW Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Volkswagen VW shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Volkswagen VW. Price-to-Sales is 91 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 91% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Volkswagen VW's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 97% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 93. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Volkswagen VW are expected to be higher than for 97% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 97). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation based on Volkswagen VW's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Volkswagen VW based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Volkswagen VW Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), Volkswagen VW shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Volkswagen VW. Sales Growth has a rank of 21, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 79% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 31, and Capital Growth with 27. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 47, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 53% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Volkswagen VW Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | April 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 34 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 88 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 51 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 65 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), the company Volkswagen VW has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Volkswagen VW is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Volkswagen VW. Refinancing is at 88, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 51, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 51% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 34, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 66% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), Volkswagen VW has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Volkswagen VW could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Volkswagen VW Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | April 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 10 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 51 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 69 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with investment alternatives), Volkswagen VW (Automobile Manufacturers, Germany) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Volkswagen VW are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 65, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 10). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on Volkswagen VW's financial characteristics. As the company Volkswagen VW's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 100) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 10) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 65), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 100% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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