November 21, 2024
Top 10 Stock Volkswagen VW Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Volkswagen VW – Top 10 Stock in Deutscher Aktienindex DAX 40
Volkswagen VW is listed as a top 10 stock on November 21, 2024 in the market index DAX 40 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 35 (35% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Volkswagen VW on November 21, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Germany |
| Industry | Automobile Manufacturers |
| Index | CDAX, DAX 40, EURO STOXX 50, Dividends Europe, Employee Focus EU, Diversity Europe, Human Rights |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Volkswagen VW Hold
| 360 METRICS | November 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 10 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 69 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 9 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 35 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 35 (better than 35% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Volkswagen VW are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Volkswagen VW. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 100, which means that the share price of Volkswagen VW is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 100% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 69. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 9. Professional investors are more confident in 91% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 10, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 90 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 35, Volkswagen VW is worse than 65% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 100), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 69). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 9), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 10). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Volkswagen VW negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 9 (better than 9% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Volkswagen VW is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Volkswagen VW. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 51 (better than 51% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. This is a good sign, were it not for Analyst Opinions Change with a low rank of 19, which means that currently, stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse. In other words, they are getting more critical of a stock investment in Volkswagen VW. The Professional Investors rank is also low at 1, meaning that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 99% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Even worse, Market Pulse has a low rank of 14, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are critical of this company (more negative news than for 86% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 9 (less encouraging than 91% compared with investment alternatives), Volkswagen VW has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. There are several negative sentiment signals, with only the Analyst Opinions Rank above average. This could be a stock with a long reputation for being positive but where things are worsening. Most analysts may not see it yet, but some have, and the professionals are already quite pessimistic. Proceed with caution when investing in this stock. ...read more
Value Strategy: Volkswagen VW Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Volkswagen VW shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Volkswagen VW. Price-to-Sales is 93 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 93% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Volkswagen VW's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 97% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 95. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Volkswagen VW are expected to be higher than for 97% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 97). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation based on Volkswagen VW's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Volkswagen VW based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Volkswagen VW Growth Momentum negative
| GROWTH METRICS | November 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 18 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 25 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 36 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 37 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 10 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), Volkswagen VW shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Volkswagen VW. Sales Growth has a rank of 18, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 82% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 25, and Capital Growth with 36. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 37, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 63% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Volkswagen VW Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | November 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 34 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 88 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 54 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 69 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), the company Volkswagen VW has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Volkswagen VW is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Volkswagen VW. Refinancing is at 88, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 54, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 54% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 34, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 66% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), Volkswagen VW has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Volkswagen VW could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Volkswagen VW Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | November 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 10 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 54 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 73 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Volkswagen VW (Automobile Manufacturers, Germany) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Volkswagen VW are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 69, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 10). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on Volkswagen VW's financial characteristics. As the company Volkswagen VW's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 100) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 10) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 69), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 100% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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