January 30, 2025
Top 10 Stock The a2 Milk Company Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: The a2 Milk Company – Top 10 Stock in Australian Securities Exchange Index ASX 50
The a2 Milk Company is listed as a top 10 stock on January 30, 2025 in the market index ASX 50 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Three consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. Only the Value Rank is below average. The investment rationale may be an investment in future growth, supported by professional market opinion. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 69 (high 69% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for The a2 Milk Company on January 30, 2025.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View The a2 Milk Company Buy
| 360 METRICS | January 30, 2025 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 9 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 95 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 65 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 65 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 69 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock The a2 Milk Company are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for The a2 Milk Company. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 95, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 95% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank at 65 means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 65% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 65, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 65% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank is less desirable at 9, meaning that the share price of The a2 Milk Company is on the higher side compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 91% of alternative stocks in the same industry. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 69, The a2 Milk Company is better positioned than 69% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as above-average growth (Growth Rank of 95), a safe financing structure (Safety Rank of 65), and positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 65), it is a solid stock investment where growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale, also reflected by institutional investors. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of The a2 Milk Company compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The growth rank measures the growth momentum of the company (95% better than peers). The value rank could be the reverse reflection of that (5%). A Value Rank below that level may be assessed as expensive, a rank above that is still good value. Sometimes market sentiment just reflects the past, sometimes the reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for The a2 Milk Company positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock The a2 Milk Company is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for The a2 Milk Company. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 43 (worse than 57% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 59, which indicates a shift in stock research experts opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic about stock investments in The a2 Milk Company. Even better, the Professional Investors rank is 81, meaning that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 81% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 51, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are upbeat when discussing this company (more positive news than for 51% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 65 (more positive than 65% compared with investment alternatives), The a2 Milk Company has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. While analysts are still critical of the company, some are changing their minds. In addition, the professional news channels are optimistic, and many institutional investors have already bought stock in the company. These are encouraging signals, despite the still lower level of analyst recommendations. They may be due to a problematic past, and about to change. The positive sentiment signals are stronger than the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: The a2 Milk Company Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 9 (worse than 91% compared with alternatives), The a2 Milk Company shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for The a2 Milk Company. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 56% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 3 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 97% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning The a2 Milk Company's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 11 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 89% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 9 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 91% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 9, is a sell recommendation based on The a2 Milk Company's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick The a2 Milk Company? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose The a2 Milk Company only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. ...read more
Growth Strategy: The a2 Milk Company Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2025, The a2 Milk Company shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for The a2 Milk Company. Sales Growth has a rank of 91 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 91% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 43% of competitors with a rank of 69, and Stock Returns with the rank of 91 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 43 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 57% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 95, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, The a2 Milk Company is a good growth stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: The a2 Milk Company Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | January 30, 2025 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 86 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 35 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 59 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 65 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), the company The a2 Milk Company has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of The a2 Milk Company is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for The a2 Milk Company. Leverage is at a rank of 86, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 86% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 59, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 59% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 35, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 65% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), The a2 Milk Company has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for The a2 Milk Company. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: The a2 Milk Company Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | January 30, 2025 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 9 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 95 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 59 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 62 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 62 (better than 62% compared with investment alternatives), The a2 Milk Company (Packaged Foods & Meats, New Zealand) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of The a2 Milk Company are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 9 (worse than 91% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 95) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 65, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 62, is a buy recommendation based on The a2 Milk Company's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company The a2 Milk Company exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 9), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 95). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 65) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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