July 18, 2024
Top 10 Stock Barloworld Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Barloworld – Top 10 Stock in Independent Boards in Growth Markets
Barloworld is listed as a top 10 stock on July 18, 2024 in the market index Independent Boards Growth Markets because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 40 (40% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Barloworld on July 18, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Trading & Distribution |
| Index | Low Emissions, Good Governace Growth Markets, Independent Boards Growth Markets, JSE All Shares |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Barloworld Hold
| 360 METRICS | July 18, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 96 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 50 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 33 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 40 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 40 (better than 40% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Barloworld are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Barloworld. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 96, which means that the share price of Barloworld is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 96% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 50. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 33. Professional investors are more confident in 67% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 15, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 85 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 40, Barloworld is worse than 60% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 96), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 50). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 33), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 15). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Barloworld only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 33 (better than 33% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Barloworld is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the indicators below and above average for Barloworld. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 10 (worse than 90% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50 which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Barloworld. Market Pulse is also positive with a rank of 67, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are positive in their discussions about this company (more positive news than for 67% of competitors). Only professional investors tend to be absent with a Professional Investors rank of 49, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 51% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. But that could also be due to the size of the company. Professional investors tend to invest in XL and XXL companies. If the company is smaller than that, that fact alone may explain why there are fewer pros present. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 33 (less encouraging than 67% compared with investment alternatives), Barloworld has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. Since analysts are getting more optimistic and the professional communication channels are positive, it may be an indication of a company that has the difficult times behind it or the stocks’ value is improving. For medium to smaller companies, the positive sentiment indicators outshine the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: Barloworld Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Barloworld shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Barloworld. Price-to-Sales is 79 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 79% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Barloworld's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 82% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 73. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Barloworld are expected to be higher than for 98% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 98). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 96, is a buy recommendation based on Barloworld's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Barloworld based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Barloworld Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), Barloworld shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Barloworld. Sales Growth has a rank of 4, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 96% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 24, and Capital Growth with 33. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 41, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 59% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Barloworld Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | July 18, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 39 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 80 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 36 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 50 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with alternatives), the company Barloworld has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Barloworld is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Barloworld and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 80, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 80% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 39, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 61% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 36, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 64% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with alternatives), Barloworld has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Barloworld are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Barloworld Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | July 18, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 96 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 36 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 49 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with investment alternatives), Barloworld (Trading & Distribution, South Africa) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Barloworld are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 96 (better than 96% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 50, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Barloworld's financial characteristics. As the company Barloworld's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 96) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 50), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 96% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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