October 10, 2024
Top 10 Stock British American Tobacco Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: British American Tobacco – Top 10 Stock in Diversity Leaders in Europe
British American Tobacco is listed as a top 10 stock on October 10, 2024 in the market index Diversity Europe because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 14 (14% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for British American Tobacco on October 10, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
Country | United Kingdom |
Industry | Tobacco |
Index | FTSE All Shares, FTSE 100, FTSE 350, Dividends Europe, Employee Focus EU, Diversity Europe, Human Rights, Recycling |
Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View British American Tobacco Sell
360 METRICS | October 10, 2024 | |||||||
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VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 75 |
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GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 11 |
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SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 36 |
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SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | 27 |
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360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | 14 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 14 (better than 14% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock British American Tobacco are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for British American Tobacco. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 75, which means that the share price of British American Tobacco is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 75% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 11, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 36, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 64% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 73% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 27. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 14, British American Tobacco is worse than 86% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that British American Tobacco shares are on the riskier side for investors. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 75. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 11), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 36), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 27) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of British American Tobacco is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of British American Tobacco. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for British American Tobacco only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock British American Tobacco is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for British American Tobacco. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 59 (better than 59% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. This is a good sign, were it not for Analyst Opinions Change with a low rank of 42, which means that currently, stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse. In other words, they are getting more critical of a stock investment in British American Tobacco. The Professional Investors rank is also low at 14, meaning that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 86% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Even worse, Market Pulse has a low rank of 44, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are critical of this company (more negative news than for 56% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 27 (less encouraging than 73% compared with investment alternatives), British American Tobacco has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. There are several negative sentiment signals, with only the Analyst Opinions Rank above average. This could be a stock with a long reputation for being positive but where things are worsening. Most analysts may not see it yet, but some have, and the professionals are already quite pessimistic. Proceed with caution when investing in this stock. ...read more
Value Strategy: British American Tobacco Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, British American Tobacco shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for British American Tobacco. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 89 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 89% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning British American Tobacco's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 74, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 100. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 87% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 13). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 75, is a buy recommendation based on British American Tobacco's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that British American Tobacco has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing British American Tobacco shares. ...read more
Growth Strategy: British American Tobacco Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), British American Tobacco shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for British American Tobacco. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 10, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 90% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 24, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 19. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 81% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 55, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 55% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for British American Tobacco, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: British American Tobacco Debt Financing Safety below-average
SAFETY METRICS | October 10, 2024 | |||||||
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LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 37 |
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REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 24 |
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LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 53 |
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CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 36 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 36 (better than 36% compared with alternatives), the company British American Tobacco has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of British American Tobacco is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for British American Tobacco. Liquidity is at 53, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 53% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 24, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 76% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 37, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 63% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 36 (worse than 64% compared with alternatives), British American Tobacco has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: British American Tobacco Below-Average Financial Performance
COMBINED PERFORMANCE | October 10, 2024 | |||||||
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VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 75 |
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GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 11 |
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SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 53 |
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COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 26 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 26 (worse than 74% compared with investment alternatives), British American Tobacco (Tobacco, United Kingdom) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of British American Tobacco are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 75 (better than 75% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 36), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 26, is a hold recommendation based on British American Tobacco's financial characteristics. As the company British American Tobacco's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 75) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 36), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 75% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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