October 3, 2024
Top 10 Stock Coface Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Coface – Top 10 Stock in Société des Bourses Françaises Index SBF 120
Coface is listed as a top 10 stock on October 03, 2024 in the market index SBF 120 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 85 (top 85% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Coface on October 03, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | France |
| Industry | Property & Casualty Insurance |
| Index | CAC All, SBF 120, Dividends Europe |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Coface Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | October 3, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 81 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 49 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 17 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 27 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 85 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2022, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Coface are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Coface. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 81, which means that the share price of Coface is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 81% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 49, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 17, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 83% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 73% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 27. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 85, Coface is better positioned than 85% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 81. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 49), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 17), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 27) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Coface is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of Coface. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Coface only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Coface is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Coface. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 21 (worse than 79% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are more positive in their investment recommendations in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Coface. More encouragingly, the Professional Investors rank is 91, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 91% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But Market Pulse is on the lower side with a rank of 11, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 89% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 27 (less encouraging than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Coface has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. The sentiment signals are mixed for Coface. While analysts and the news channels are negative, there is a change in what analysts think. Above-average institutional investors in this company support them. Sentiment signals remain mixed with analysts and news channels pessimistic, though improving, and professional investors above average. ...read more
Value Strategy: Coface Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Coface shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Coface. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 71 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 71% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Coface's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 78, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 85. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 59% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 41). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 81, is a buy recommendation based on Coface's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that Coface has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing Coface shares. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Coface Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), Coface shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Coface. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 41, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 59% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 41, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 41. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 59% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 73, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 73% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Coface, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Coface Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | October 3, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 9 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 90 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 14 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 17 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 17 (better than 17% compared with alternatives), the company Coface has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Coface is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Coface and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 90, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 90% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 9, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 91% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 14, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with alternatives), Coface has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Coface are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Coface Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | October 3, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 81 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 49 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 14 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 37 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Coface (Property & Casualty Insurance, France) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Coface are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 49), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 17), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on Coface's financial characteristics. As the company Coface's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 81) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 49) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 17), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 81% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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