Fact based stock research
CVR Energy (NYSE:CVI)

US12662P1084

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

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CVR Energy stock research in summary

cvrenergy.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with investment alternatives), CVR Energy (Oil & Gas Refining, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of CVR Energy are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 59 (better than 59% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 55, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 43). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on CVR Energy's financial characteristics. As the company CVR Energy's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 59) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 43) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 55), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 59% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	n/a
Growth Rank	n/a
Safety Rank	n/a
Combined Rank	n/a

Country	USA
Industry	Oil & Gas Refining
Index
Size class	X-Large

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Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: CVR Energy

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	10	37	52	n/a
GROWTH
GROWTH	49	5	25	n/a
SAFETY
SAFETY	3	19	56	n/a
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	47	31	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	9	21	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: . Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: . Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better CVR Energy is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	10	37	52	n/a
GROWTH
GROWTH	49	5	25	n/a
SAFETY
SAFETY	3	19	56	n/a
COMBINED
COMBINED	3	5	32	n/a

Last update of combined financial performance: . Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of CVR Energy the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), CVR Energy shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for CVR Energy. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 69, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning CVR Energy's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 100, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 100% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 91% of alternatives (only 9% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 61% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation based on CVR Energy's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	98	83	73	n/a
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	10	15	41	n/a
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	14	25	8	n/a
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	71	79	n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	10	37	52	n/a

Last update of Value Rank: . Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of CVR Energy; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 43 (better than 43% compared with alternatives), CVR Energy shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for CVR Energy. Profit Growth has a rank of 52 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 52% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 85, and Stock Returns has a rank of 57 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 57% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 1 (99% of its competitors are better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 43, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	71	24	1	n/a
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	59	26	63	n/a
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	19	43	n/a
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	62	41	61	n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	49	5	25	n/a

Last update of Growth Rank: . Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of CVR Energy.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), the company CVR Energy has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of CVR Energy is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for CVR Energy. Refinancing is at 80, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 80% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 61, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 20, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 80% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), CVR Energy has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and CVR Energy could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with CVR Energy and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	32	32	20	n/a
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	4	77	81	n/a
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	10	19	59	n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	3	19	56	n/a

Last update of Safety Rank: . Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of CVR Energy and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	16	1	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	72	6	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	41	82	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	48	70	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	47	31	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: . Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for CVR Energy.
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