January 23, 2025
Top 10 Stock EDP Hold Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: EDP – Top 10 Stock in PSI-20 Index


edp.com


EDP is listed as a top 10 stock on January 23, 2025 in the market index PSI 20 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit above-average performance, the professional market sentiment is positive and it may be a solid investment proposition, especially if a growth recovery is to be expected soon. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 29 (29% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for EDP on January 23, 2025.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Portugal
Industry Electric Utilities
Index Low Emissions, Employee Focus EU, Human Rights, Nuclear, PSI General, PSI 20
Size class XX-Large
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Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View EDP Hold

360 METRICS January 23, 2025
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock EDP are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for EDP. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 62, which means that the share price of EDP is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 62% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 56, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 56% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 19, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 34, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 66 comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 29, EDP is worse than 71% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit above-average performance, but the other half are below market levels. The company enjoys a good value (Value Rank of 62) and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 56), but growth expectations are below-average (Growth Rank of 19) and the financing structure is on the risky side(Safety Rank of 34). This combination is rather dangerous, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. The current low growth level may be temporary, because professionals are actually optimistic (positive sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. Companies with less growth typically have a lower price than fast-growing competitors. Even though professional investor sentiment is strong, we recommend further evaluating whether the future of EDP is as challenging as the stock's low price suggests. Since the professional community is optimistic, the stock might just be going through a more challenging phase now, indicating that timing might be good now. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for EDP positive

SENTIMENT METRICS January 23, 2025
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock EDP is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for EDP. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 27, which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. Other sentiment indicators are positive: The Professional Investors rank is 66, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 66% of alternative investment opportunities. So, pros tend to favor investing in this company. In addition, Market Pulse has a rank of 77, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 77% of competitors). While stock research analysts are getting ever more critical, many professional investors are committed to EDP and the professional news channels are on the positive side. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 56 (more positive than 56% compared with investment alternatives), EDP has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. This is an ambiguous picture: analysts are negative and getting even more critical, while the news in the market is positive. Who should investors believe? This is a difficult question in such a situation. Investors should proceed cautiously and verify not only the financial performance in the Obermatt Value, Growth and Safety Ranks but also independent news coverage of the company. ...read more



Value Strategy: EDP Stock Price Value better than average

VALUE METRICS January 23, 2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 62 (better than 62% compared with alternatives), EDP shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where three out of four indicators are above average for EDP. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 53 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 53% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for EDP's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 59. Finally, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of EDP are expected to be higher than for 82% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 82). The only low rank is for expected profits with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 42, indicating that the market expects the company's profit to be low despite a high dividend. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 62, is a buy recommendation based on EDP's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The low Profit Rank could result from a one-off charge, for instance, for an accident, a legal settlement, or a restructuring project. If the company keeps its dividends high, the low expected profit may be transitory. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Capital, and Dividends are reliable indicators for good stock price value, a low stock price. ...read more



Growth Strategy: EDP Growth Momentum negative

GROWTH METRICS January 23, 2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 19 (better than 19% compared with alternatives), EDP shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for EDP. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 85, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 85% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 31, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 69% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 12 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 12 (88% of alternative investments were better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 19, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. ...read more



Safety Strategy: EDP Debt Financing Safety below-average

SAFETY METRICS January 23, 2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 34 (better than 34% compared with alternatives), the company EDP has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of EDP is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for EDP. Liquidity is at 32, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 68% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 49, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 51% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 39 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 61% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 34 (worse than 66% compared with alternatives), EDP has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.



Combined financial peformance: EDP Lowest Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE January 23, 2025
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 20 (worse than 80% compared with investment alternatives), EDP (Electric Utilities, Portugal) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of EDP are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 62 (better than 62% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 19), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 34), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 20, is a sell recommendation based on EDP's financial characteristics. As the company EDP's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 62) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 19) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 34), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 62% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more

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