June 26, 2025
Top 10 Stock J.M. Smucker Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: J.M. Smucker – Top 10 Stock in S&P Food & Beverage Index
J.M. Smucker is listed as a top 10 stock on June 26, 2025 in the market index S&P US Food & Beverage because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is below average and thus a signal for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 14 (14% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for J.M. Smucker on June 26, 2025.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| Index | S&P US Consumer, S&P US Food & Beverage, S&P 500 |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View J.M. Smucker Sell
| 360 METRICS | June 26, 2025 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 85 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 53 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 10 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 7 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 14 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 14 (better than 14% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock J.M. Smucker are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for J.M. Smucker. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 85, which means that the share price of J.M. Smucker is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 85% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 53, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 7. Professional investors are more confident in 93% other stocks. Worryingly, the company has risky financing, with a Safety rank of 10. This means 90% of comparable companies have a safer financing structure than J.M. Smucker. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 14, J.M. Smucker is worse than 86% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that J.M. Smucker shares are on the riskier side for investors. Even though half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, namely the Value Rank at 85 and the Growth Rank above-average at 53, the picture is still mixed. The professional investor community is skeptical, with the Sentiment Rank below-average at 7. In addition, the company financing structure is on the riskier side (Safety Rank of 10). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. One may be tempted by above-average growth, but that could also change quickly, as past performance is not a good indicator of future performance. Since the financing structure is on the risky side, investors should be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for J.M. Smucker negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 7 (better than 7% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock J.M. Smucker is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half the indicators below and half above average for J.M. Smucker. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 40 (worse than 60% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 5, which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. In addition, the Professional Investors rank is 6, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 94% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. The only positive sentiment indicator for J.M. Smucker is Market Pulse, with a rank of 52, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 52% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 7 (less encouraging than 93% compared with investment alternatives), J.M. Smucker has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. This is an ambiguous picture: analysts are negative and getting even more critical while the news in the market is positive. Who should investors believe? This is a difficult question in such a situation. Investors should proceed cautiously and verify not only the financial performance in the Obermatt Value, Growth and Safety Ranks but also independent news coverage of the company. ...read more
Value Strategy: J.M. Smucker Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2025, J.M. Smucker shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for J.M. Smucker. Price-to-Sales is 55 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 55% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for J.M. Smucker's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 93% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 78. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of J.M. Smucker are expected to be higher than for 84% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 84). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation based on J.M. Smucker's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in J.M. Smucker based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: J.M. Smucker Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), J.M. Smucker shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for J.M. Smucker. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 87, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 34% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 34 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 66% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 34 and Stock Returns with a rank of 49 are also low (below 51% of alternative investments). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for J.M. Smucker is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: J.M. Smucker Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | June 26, 2025 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 26 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 13 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 29 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 10 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), the company J.M. Smucker has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of J.M. Smucker is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for J.M. Smucker. Liquidity is at 29, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 71% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 26, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 74% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 13 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 87% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with alternatives), J.M. Smucker has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: J.M. Smucker Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 26, 2025 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 85 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 53 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 29 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 46 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with investment alternatives), J.M. Smucker (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of J.M. Smucker are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 10), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation based on J.M. Smucker's financial characteristics. As the company J.M. Smucker's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 85) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 53), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 10) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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