Fact based stock research
JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM)

US46625H1005

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

JPMorgan Chase stock research in summary

jpmorganchase.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 12 (worse than 88% compared with investment alternatives), JPMorgan Chase (Diversified Banks, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of JPMorgan Chase are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 10 (worse than 90% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 32, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 12, is a sell recommendation based on JPMorgan Chase's financial characteristics. As the company JPMorgan Chase shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 10 (90% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 53% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 53). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 32 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for JPMorgan Chase, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	10
Growth Rank	53
Safety Rank	32
Combined Rank	12

Country	USA
Industry	Diversified Banks
Index	Dow Jones, Diversity USA, Human Rights, Renewables Users, S&P 500
Size class	XX-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: JPMorgan Chase

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	14	41	18	10
GROWTH
GROWTH	35	3	85	53
SAFETY
SAFETY	73	89	44	32
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	51	57	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	31	52	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better JPMorgan Chase is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	14	41	18	10
GROWTH
GROWTH	35	3	85	53
SAFETY
SAFETY	73	89	44	32
COMBINED
COMBINED	68	29	48	12

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of JPMorgan Chase the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with alternatives), JPMorgan Chase shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for JPMorgan Chase. Price-to-Sales is 30 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 70% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning JPMorgan Chase's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 7, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of JPMorgan Chase. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 31 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 77% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation based on JPMorgan Chase's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for JPMorgan Chase? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as JPMorgan Chase? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. JPMorgan Chase may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	24	62	48	30
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	52	52	47	31
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	7	19	9	7
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	45	55	24	23
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	14	41	18	10

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of JPMorgan Chase; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), JPMorgan Chase shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for JPMorgan Chase. Profit Growth has a rank of 85 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 85% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 65, and Stock Returns has a rank of 61 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 61% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 3 (97% of its competitors are better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	38	56	37	3
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	44	4	92	85
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	80	63	65
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	30	11	97	61
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	35	3	85	53

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of JPMorgan Chase.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 32 (better than 32% compared with alternatives), the company JPMorgan Chase has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of JPMorgan Chase is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for JPMorgan Chase. Liquidity is at 97, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 97% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 14, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 86% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 11, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 89% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with alternatives), JPMorgan Chase has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	64	98	31	11
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	45	24	18	14
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	87	74	97	97
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	73	89	44	32

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of JPMorgan Chase and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	40	67	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	52	42	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	82	72	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	12	36	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	51	57	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for JPMorgan Chase.
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