April 3, 2025
Top 10 Stock KGHM Polska Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: KGHM Polska – Top 10 Stock in Uranium Mining and Production
KGHM Polska is listed as a top 10 stock on April 03, 2025 in the market index Uranium because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. The company is safely financed and the professional investor sentiment is positive. Both are encouraging signals for a stock purchase decision, albeit at an above-average share price. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 74 (high 74% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for KGHM Polska on April 03, 2025.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Poland |
| Industry | Copper |
| Index | Low Emissions, Copper, Energy Efficient, Iron, Lithium, Rare Earth, Uranium, WIG 20 |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View KGHM Polska Buy
| 360 METRICS | April 3, 2025 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 27 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 45 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 72 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 81 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 74 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock KGHM Polska are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half below and half above average for KGHM Polska. The consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 81, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 81% of alternative investment opportunities. It also rates well regarding its financing structure, with the consolidated Safety Rank at 72 or better than 72% of its peers when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. But the stock is expensive and expects low growth. The consolidated Value Rank is only 27, meaning that the share price of KGHM Polska is on the high side, compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. The company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth,and stock returns, with its Growth Rank at 45. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 74, KGHM Polska is better positioned than 74% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, namely the positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 81) and safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 72), the case for investing in this stock needs further thought. The Value and the Safety Ranks are below average. The Safety Rank is the least critical of the four consolidated ranks, because it only reflects financing practices. So the question is: How to assess below-average value against above-average sentiment? This may be a case where growth is in the future, not yet reflected in current performance. Companies that might fall into this category are those with intellectual property, such as technology and pharmaceutical companies. In early phases, they are expensive relative to their size and have a lot of capital on their books, as is the case here. Investors expect a better future and are willing to pay a higher price than is warranted by the current company size. These higher prices drive stock price value down in the short term. In this case, future growth may be the strongest driver of the investment case, reflected by institutional investors' opinions. With a weak Value Rank, the question is how much to sacrifice value at the cost of positive sentiment. Sometimes market sentiment is just hype, but sometimes it is right. You pay more than market-average for this stock, but it may be worth it, if the future of KGHM Polskạ is bright. Prudent investors may only want to invest a smaller portion of their wealth in such situations. Young investors can carry more risk but should still thrive for sufficient diversification. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for KGHM Polska very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2025, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock KGHM Polska is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for KGHM Polska. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 3 (worse than 97% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which indicates a shift in stock research experts opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic about stock investments in KGHM Polska. Even better, the Professional Investors rank is 98, meaning that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 98% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 100, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are upbeat when discussing this company (more positive news than for 100% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 81 (more positive than 81% compared with investment alternatives), KGHM Polska has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. While analysts are still critical of the company, some are changing their minds. In addition, the professional news channels are optimistic, and many institutional investors have already bought stock in the company. These are encouraging signals, despite the still lower level of analyst recommendations. They may be due to a problematic past, and about to change. The positive sentiment signals are stronger than the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: KGHM Polska Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), KGHM Polska shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for KGHM Polska. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 51 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 51% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning KGHM Polska's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 66, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 66% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than for 66% of alternatives (only 34% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than for 75% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on KGHM Polska's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high concerning expected revenues, the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting Group or BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than distribute it to shareholders through dividends, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. ...read more
Growth Strategy: KGHM Polska Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), KGHM Polska shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for KGHM Polska. Profit Growth has a rank of 50 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 50% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 65, and Stock Returns has a rank of 71 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 71% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 10 (90% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: KGHM Polska Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | April 3, 2025 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 66 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 16 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 41 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 72 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with alternatives), the company KGHM Polska has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of KGHM Polska is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for KGHM Polska and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 66 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 66% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 16, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 84% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 41, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 59% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with alternatives), KGHM Polska has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of KGHM Polska are on the safer side. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: KGHM Polska Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | April 3, 2025 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 27 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 45 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 41 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 63 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with investment alternatives), KGHM Polska (Copper, Poland) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of KGHM Polska are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 72), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on KGHM Polska's financial characteristics. As the company KGHM Polska's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 72) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. ...read more
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