Fact based stock research
Oji Paper (TSE:3861)
JP3174410005
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Oji Paper stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with investment alternatives), Oji Paper (Paper Products, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Oji Paper are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 91) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 30), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 72, is a buy recommendation based on Oji Paper's financial characteristics. As the company Oji Paper's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 77) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 91), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 30) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Japan |
Industry | Paper Products |
Index | Water Efficiency, Nikkei 225 |
Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Oji Paper
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 100 |
|
77 |
|
85 |
|
77 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 16 |
|
47 |
|
39 |
|
91 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 33 |
|
39 |
|
51 |
|
30 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
79 |
|
34 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
83 |
|
49 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with investment alternatives), Oji Paper (Paper Products, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Oji Paper are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 91) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 30), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 72, is a buy recommendation based on Oji Paper's financial characteristics. As the company Oji Paper's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 77) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 91), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 30) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 100 |
|
77 |
|
85 |
|
77 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 16 |
|
47 |
|
39 |
|
91 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 33 |
|
39 |
|
51 |
|
30 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 65 |
|
61 |
|
61 |
|
72 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Oji Paper shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Oji Paper. Price-to-Sales is 74 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 74% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Oji Paper's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 74% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 74. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Oji Paper are expected to be higher than for 63% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 63). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 77, is a buy recommendation based on Oji Paper's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Oji Paper based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 95 |
|
76 |
|
80 |
|
74 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 79 |
|
84 |
|
89 |
|
74 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 96 |
|
73 |
|
90 |
|
74 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 67 |
|
45 |
|
56 |
|
63 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 100 |
|
77 |
|
85 |
|
77 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Oji Paper shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Oji Paper. Sales Growth has a rank of 94 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 94% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 58, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 89, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 49, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 51% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 9 |
|
33 |
|
44 |
|
94 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 15 |
|
62 |
|
52 |
|
58 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
64 |
|
49 |
|
49 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 22 |
|
15 |
|
35 |
|
89 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 16 |
|
47 |
|
39 |
|
91 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 30 (better than 30% compared with alternatives), the company Oji Paper has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Oji Paper is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Oji Paper. Liquidity is at 58, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 17, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 83% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 42, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 30 (worse than 70% compared with alternatives), Oji Paper has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 12 |
|
34 |
|
34 |
|
42 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 80 |
|
53 |
|
35 |
|
17 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 19 |
|
32 |
|
61 |
|
58 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 33 |
|
39 |
|
51 |
|
30 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
68 |
|
42 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
23 |
|
6 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
82 |
|
59 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
44 |
|
46 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
79 |
|
34 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Oji Paper from December 19, 2024.
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