Fact based stock research
Oji Paper (TSE:3861)

JP3174410005

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Oji Paper stock research in summary

ojiholdings.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with investment alternatives), Oji Paper (Paper Products, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Oji Paper are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 47), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 28), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 50, is a buy recommendation based on Oji Paper's financial characteristics. As the company Oji Paper's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 91) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 47) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 28), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 91% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	91
Growth Rank	47
Safety Rank	28
Combined Rank	50

Country	Japan
Industry	Paper Products
Index	Water Efficiency, Nikkei 225
Size class	XX-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Oji Paper

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	100	77	85	91
GROWTH
GROWTH	16	47	39	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	33	39	51	28
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	79	34	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	83	49	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Oji Paper is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	100	77	85	91
GROWTH
GROWTH	16	47	39	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	33	39	51	28
COMBINED
COMBINED	65	61	61	50

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Oji Paper the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Oji Paper shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Oji Paper. Price-to-Sales is 78 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 78% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Oji Paper's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 85% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 83. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Oji Paper are expected to be higher than for 76% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 76). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation based on Oji Paper's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Oji Paper based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	95	76	80	78
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	79	84	89	85
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	96	73	90	83
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	67	45	56	76
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	100	77	85	91

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Oji Paper; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), Oji Paper shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Oji Paper. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 72, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 72% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 37, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 63% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 28 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 47 (53% of alternative investments were better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	9	33	44	37
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	15	62	52	72
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	64	49	28
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	22	15	35	47
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	16	47	39	47

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Oji Paper.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 28 (better than 28% compared with alternatives), the company Oji Paper has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Oji Paper is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Oji Paper. Liquidity is at 58, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 19, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 42, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 28 (worse than 72% compared with alternatives), Oji Paper has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	12	34	34	42
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	80	53	35	19
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	19	32	61	58
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	33	39	51	28

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Oji Paper and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	68	42	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	23	6	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	82	59	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	44	46	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	79	34	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Oji Paper.
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