November 21, 2024
Top 10 Stock Pick n Pay Stores Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Pick n Pay Stores – Top 10 Stock in Johannesburg Securities Exchange All Shares Index JSE All Shares
Pick n Pay Stores is listed as a top 10 stock on November 21, 2024 in the market index JSE All Shares because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only one consolidated Obermatt Rank is above-average. The company is growing above average, but all other facts speak against a stock purchase, especially the low market sentiment by professional investors. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 4 (4% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Pick n Pay Stores on November 21, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Food Retail |
| Index | Low Emissions, Good Governace Growth Markets, Low Waste, Recycling, JSE All Shares |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Pick n Pay Stores Sell
| 360 METRICS | November 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 17 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 89 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 6 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 1 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 4 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 4 (better than 4% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Pick n Pay Stores are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Pick n Pay Stores. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 89, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. It ranks higher than 89% of competitors in the same industry. The other indicators are below average, namely the Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks.The Value Rank at 17 means that the share price of Pick n Pay Stores is on the high side compared with its peers regarding revenues, profits, and invested capital. The stock price is higher than for 83% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 6, which means that the company has a riskier financing structure than 94% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 1, indicating professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 99% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 4, Pick n Pay Stores is worse than 96% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Pick n Pay Stores shares are on the riskier side for investors. As only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits excellent performance, namely the above-average growth (Growth Rank of 89), it is a riskier stock investment proposition. Aside from the critical professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 1), the company is rather risky when it comes to financing (Safety Rank of 6). The negative market view on Pick n Pay Stores may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to join the party, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. While it is typical for growth companies to have low value, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that are expected to have high growth, the crucial question is: how much more do you pay for the stock of Pick n Pay Stores compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value (even though it is lower than 50). As market sentiment is critical, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company's future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Pick n Pay Stores negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Pick n Pay Stores is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Pick n Pay Stores. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 21 (worse than 79% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 33 which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. It doesn't end with the analysts. Market Pulse is also low with a rank of 8, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 92% of competitors). No wonder, the Professional Investors rank is only 11, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 89% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to stay away from Pick n Pay Stores, which may be due to a small company size but just as likely because of its relatively low Sentiment Rank. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 1 (less encouraging than 99% compared with investment alternatives), Pick n Pay Stores has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. Investors should be careful with this stock right now. Further research is required if an investment is desired, because the facts found in the professional community are all negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: Pick n Pay Stores Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with alternatives), Pick n Pay Stores shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Pick n Pay Stores. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 83, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 83% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Pick n Pay Stores's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 1, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 99% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 72% of alternatives (only 28% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation based on Pick n Pay Stores's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Pick n Pay Stores could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Pick n Pay Stores looks like an expensive investment today. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Pick n Pay Stores Growth Momentum high
| GROWTH METRICS | November 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 29 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 82 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 96 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 85 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 89 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Pick n Pay Stores shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Pick n Pay Stores. Profit Growth has a rank of 82 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 82% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 96, and Stock Returns has a rank of 85 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 85% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 29 (71% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 89, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Pick n Pay Stores Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | November 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 1 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 22 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 8 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 6 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 6 (better than 6% compared with alternatives), the company Pick n Pay Stores has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Pick n Pay Stores is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Pick n Pay Stores. Liquidity is at 8, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 1, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 99% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 22 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 78% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with alternatives), Pick n Pay Stores has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: Pick n Pay Stores Lowest Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | November 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 17 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 89 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 8 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 18 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 18 (worse than 82% compared with investment alternatives), Pick n Pay Stores (Food Retail, South Africa) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Pick n Pay Stores are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 17 (worse than 83% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 6, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 89). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 18, is a sell recommendation based on Pick n Pay Stores's financial characteristics. As the company Pick n Pay Stores shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 17 (83% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 89% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 89). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 6 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Pick n Pay Stores, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
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