April 11, 2024
Top 10 Stock Super Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Super – Top 10 Stock in Johannesburg Securities Exchange All Shares Index JSE All Shares
Super is listed as a top 10 stock on April 11, 2024 in the market index JSE All Shares because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 66 (high 66% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Super on April 11, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Automotive Retail |
| Index | JSE All Shares |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Super Buy
| 360 METRICS | April 11, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 95 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 80 |
|
||||||
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 29 |
|
||||||
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 66 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Super are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Super. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 95, which means that the share price of Super is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 95% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 80. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 29. Professional investors are more confident in 71% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 15, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 85 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 66, Super is better positioned than 66% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 95), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 80). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 29), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 15). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Super only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Super is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half the indicators below and half above average for Super. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 24, which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. In addition, the Professional Investors rank is 29, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 71% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. The only positive sentiment indicator for Super is Market Pulse, with a rank of 56, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 56% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 29 (less encouraging than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Super has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. This is an ambiguous picture: analysts are negative and getting even more critical while the news in the market is positive. Who should investors believe? This is a difficult question in such a situation. Investors should proceed cautiously and verify not only the financial performance in the Obermatt Value, Growth and Safety Ranks but also independent news coverage of the company. ...read more
Value Strategy: Super Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Super shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Super. Price-to-Sales is 93 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 93% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Super's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 97% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 100. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Super are expected to be higher than for 52% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 52). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 95, is a buy recommendation based on Super's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Super based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Super Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), Super shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Super. Sales Growth has a rank of 33, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 67% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 34, and Capital Growth with 47. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 29, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 71% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Super Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | April 11, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 24 |
|
||||||
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 95 |
|
||||||
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 94 |
|
||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 80 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Super has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Super is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Super. Refinancing is at 95, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 95% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 94, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 94% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 24, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives), Super has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Super could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Super Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | April 11, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 95 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 94 |
|
||||||
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 80 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with investment alternatives), Super (Automotive Retail, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Super are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 95 (better than 95% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 80, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 80, is a strong buy recommendation based on Super's financial characteristics. As the company Super's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 95) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 80), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 95% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.