June 13, 2024
Top 10 Stock The Carlyle Group Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: The Carlyle Group – Top 10 Stock in SDG 9: Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
The Carlyle Group is listed as a top 10 stock on June 13, 2024 in the market index SDG 9 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is below average and thus a signal for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 52 (high 52% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for The Carlyle Group on June 13, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View The Carlyle Group Buy
| 360 METRICS | June 13, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 65 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 93 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 16 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 23 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 52 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 52 (better than 52% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock The Carlyle Group are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for The Carlyle Group. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 65, which means that the share price of The Carlyle Group is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 65% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 93, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 23. Professional investors are more confident in 77% other stocks. Worryingly, the company has risky financing, with a Safety rank of 16. This means 84% of comparable companies have a safer financing structure than The Carlyle Group. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 52, The Carlyle Group is better positioned than 52% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Even though half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, namely the Value Rank at 65 and the Growth Rank above-average at 93, the picture is still mixed. The professional investor community is skeptical, with the Sentiment Rank below-average at 23. In addition, the company financing structure is on the riskier side (Safety Rank of 16). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. One may be tempted by above-average growth, but that could also change quickly, as past performance is not a good indicator of future performance. Since the financing structure is on the risky side, investors should be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for The Carlyle Group negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 23 (better than 23% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock The Carlyle Group is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for The Carlyle Group. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 46 (worse than 54% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in The Carlyle Group. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 48, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 52% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 28, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 72% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 23 (less encouraging than 77% compared with investment alternatives), The Carlyle Group has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more
Value Strategy: The Carlyle Group Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), The Carlyle Group shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for The Carlyle Group. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 51, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 51% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning The Carlyle Group's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 74% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 65 (dividends are expected to be higher than 65% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 68% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for The Carlyle Group to 32. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation based on The Carlyle Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. ...read more
Growth Strategy: The Carlyle Group Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with alternatives) for 2024, The Carlyle Group shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for The Carlyle Group. Sales Growth has a value of 83, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 83% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 72 and for Capital Growth with 85. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 66, which means they have been higher than 66% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 93, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, The Carlyle Group exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. ...read more
Safety Strategy: The Carlyle Group Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | June 13, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 29 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 55 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 19 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 16 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), the company The Carlyle Group has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of The Carlyle Group is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for The Carlyle Group and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 55, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 55% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 29, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 71% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 19, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 81% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 16 (worse than 84% compared with alternatives), The Carlyle Group has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for The Carlyle Group are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: The Carlyle Group Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 13, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 65 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 93 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 19 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 64 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with investment alternatives), The Carlyle Group (Asset Management & Custody, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of The Carlyle Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 65 (better than 65% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 93) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 16), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 64, is a buy recommendation based on The Carlyle Group's financial characteristics. As the company The Carlyle Group's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 65) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 93), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 16) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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