April 11, 2024
Top 10 Stock Tiger Brands Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Tiger Brands – Top 10 Stock in Johannesburg Securities Exchange All Shares Index JSE All Shares
Tiger Brands is listed as a top 10 stock on April 11, 2024 in the market index JSE All Shares because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low, despite a currently slow growth momentum. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 65 (high 65% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Tiger Brands on April 11, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| Index | Low Emissions, Good Governace Growth Markets, Human Rights, JSE All Shares |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Tiger Brands Buy
| 360 METRICS | April 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 66 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 16 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 88 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 54 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 65 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Tiger Brands are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Tiger Brands. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 66, which means that the share price of Tiger Brands is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 66% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 88. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 54. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 16, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth and momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. 84 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 65, Tiger Brands is better positioned than 65% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks show above-average performance. The stock has as good value (Value Rank of 66), secure financing practices (Safety Rank of 88), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 54). It is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely to occur. The company’s growth expectations are below the industry average (Growth Rank of 16), but that could also be temporary since professional investors remain optimistic despite the low growth numbers. The low price as reflected in the good Value Rank could indicate that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this. Companies that grow less are typically cheaper than fast-growing competitors. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Tiger Brands is as difficult as the stock’s low price suggests, despite the positive professional investor sentiment. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock may just go through a more challenging phase now, indicating good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Tiger Brands positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Tiger Brands is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Tiger Brands. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 26 (worse than 74% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which indicates a shift in stock research experts opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Tiger Brands. Even better, the Professional Investors rank is 78, meaning that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 78% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 51, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are upbeat when discussing this company (more positive news than for 51% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 54 (more positive than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Tiger Brands has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. While analysts are still critical of the company, some are changing their minds. In addition, the professional news channels are optimistic, and many institutional investors have already bought stock in the company. These are encouraging signals, despite the still lower level of analyst recommendations. They may be due to a problematic past, and about to change. The positive sentiment signals are stronger than the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: Tiger Brands Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), Tiger Brands shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Tiger Brands. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 66, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 66% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Tiger Brands's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 72% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 74 (dividends are expected to be higher than 74% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 56% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Tiger Brands to 44. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 66, is a buy recommendation based on Tiger Brands's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Tiger Brands Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), Tiger Brands shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Tiger Brands. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 44, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 56% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 13, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 20. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 80% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 58, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 58% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 16, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Tiger Brands, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Tiger Brands Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | April 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 81 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 62 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 72 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 88 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Tiger Brands has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Tiger Brands is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Tiger Brands. Leverage is at 81, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 81% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 62, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 62% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 72, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 72% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with alternatives), Tiger Brands has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Tiger Brands Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | April 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 66 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 16 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 72 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 65 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with investment alternatives), Tiger Brands (Packaged Foods & Meats, South Africa) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Tiger Brands are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 66 (better than 66% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 88, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 16). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation based on Tiger Brands's financial characteristics. As the company Tiger Brands's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 66) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 16) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 88), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 66% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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