September 12, 2024
Top 10 Stock Tokio Marine Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Tokio Marine – Top 10 Stock in Nikkei 225 Index
Tokio Marine is listed as a top 10 stock on September 12, 2024 in the market index Nikkei 225 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Three consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. Only the Value Rank is below average. The investment rationale may be an investment in future growth, supported by professional market opinion. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 62 (high 62% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Tokio Marine on September 12, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Property & Casualty Insurance |
| Index | TOPIX 100, Nikkei 225 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Tokio Marine Buy
| 360 METRICS | September 12, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 27 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 95 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 92 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 89 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 62 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 62 (better than 62% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Tokio Marine are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Tokio Marine. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 95, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 95% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank at 92 means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 92% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 89, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 89% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank is less desirable at 27, meaning that the share price of Tokio Marine is on the higher side compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 73% of alternative stocks in the same industry. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 62, Tokio Marine is better positioned than 62% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as above-average growth (Growth Rank of 95), a safe financing structure (Safety Rank of 92), and positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 89), it is a solid stock investment where growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale, also reflected by institutional investors. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Tokio Marine compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The growth rank measures the growth momentum of the company (95% better than peers). The value rank could be the reverse reflection of that (5%). A Value Rank below that level may be assessed as expensive, a rank above that is still good value. Sometimes market sentiment just reflects the past, sometimes the reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Tokio Marine very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with alternatives) for 2022, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Tokio Marine is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all four indicators above average for Tokio Marine. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 75 (better than 75% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive with a rank of 75, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better and recommending investing in the company. They are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Tokio Marine. The Professional Investors rank is 75, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 75% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Finally, Market Pulse has a rank of 84 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 84% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 89 (more positive than 89% compared with investment alternatives), Tokio Marine has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Since all market sentiment indicators are positive, the professional community highly recommends investment in the company. Does this mean Tokio Marine stocks are a safe investment? Far from it. Even professionals make mistakes. Especially in stock investing, there is a tendency to follow the leaders. Since trees don't grow to the heavens, such positive sentiment may also be interpreted as a danger sign. A lot of optimism can often be a sign of troubles to come, albeit unforeseen by most. ...read more
Value Strategy: Tokio Marine Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), Tokio Marine shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Tokio Marine. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 68, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 68% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Tokio Marine's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 28, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 72% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 81% of alternatives (only 19% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 55% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Tokio Marine's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Tokio Marine could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Tokio Marine looks like an expensive investment today. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Tokio Marine Growth Momentum high
| GROWTH METRICS | September 12, 2024 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 49 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 78 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 93 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 95 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 95 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Tokio Marine shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Tokio Marine. Profit Growth has a rank of 78 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 78% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 93, and Stock Returns has a rank of 95 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 95% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 49 (51% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 95, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Tokio Marine Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | September 12, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 87 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 12 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 84 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 92 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2022, the company Tokio Marine has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Tokio Marine is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Tokio Marine. Leverage is at a rank of 87, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 87% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 84, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 84% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 12, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives), Tokio Marine has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Tokio Marine. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Tokio Marine Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | September 12, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 27 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 95 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 84 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 74 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with investment alternatives), Tokio Marine (Property & Casualty Insurance, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Tokio Marine are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 95) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 74, is a buy recommendation based on Tokio Marine's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Tokio Marine exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 95). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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