September 12, 2024
Top 10 Stock Tosoh Strong Buy Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: Tosoh – Top 10 Stock in Nikkei 225 Index


tosoh.co.jp


Tosoh is listed as a top 10 stock on September 12, 2024 in the market index Nikkei 225 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low, despite a currently slow growth momentum. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 78 (top 78% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Tosoh on September 12, 2024.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Japan
Industry Commodity Chemicals
Index Nikkei 225
Size class X-Large
Latest Research


Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View Tosoh Strong Buy

360 METRICS September 12, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Tosoh are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Tosoh. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 91, which means that the share price of Tosoh is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 91% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 91. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 54. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 29, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth and momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. 71 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 78, Tosoh is better positioned than 78% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks show above-average performance. The stock has as good value (Value Rank of 91), secure financing practices (Safety Rank of 91), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 54). It is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely to occur. The company’s growth expectations are below the industry average (Growth Rank of 29), but that could also be temporary since professional investors remain optimistic despite the low growth numbers. The low price as reflected in the good Value Rank could indicate that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this. Companies that grow less are typically cheaper than fast-growing competitors. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Tosoh is as difficult as the stock’s low price suggests, despite the positive professional investor sentiment. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock may just go through a more challenging phase now, indicating good timing. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Tosoh positive

SENTIMENT METRICS September 12, 2024
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Tosoh is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Tosoh. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 42 (worse than 58% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which indicates a shift in stock research experts opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Tosoh. Even better, the Professional Investors rank is 62, meaning that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 62% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 62, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are upbeat when discussing this company (more positive news than for 62% of competitors). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 54 (more positive than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Tosoh has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. While analysts are still critical of the company, some are changing their minds. In addition, the professional news channels are optimistic, and many institutional investors have already bought stock in the company. These are encouraging signals, despite the still lower level of analyst recommendations. They may be due to a problematic past, and about to change. The positive sentiment signals are stronger than the negative. ...read more



Value Strategy: Tosoh Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS September 12, 2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Tosoh shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Tosoh. Price-to-Sales is 63 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 63% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Tosoh's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 83% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 74. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Tosoh are expected to be higher than for 96% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 96). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation based on Tosoh's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Tosoh based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: Tosoh Growth Momentum low

GROWTH METRICS September 12, 2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), Tosoh shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Tosoh. Capital Growth has a rank of 68, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 42% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 59 (above 59% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 14, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 86% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 42. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Tosoh, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. ...read more



Safety Strategy: Tosoh Debt Financing Safety very solid

SAFETY METRICS September 12, 2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Tosoh has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Tosoh is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Tosoh. Leverage is at 68, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 68% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 85, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 85% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 73, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 73% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives), Tosoh has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: Tosoh Top Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE September 12, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with investment alternatives), Tosoh (Commodity Chemicals, Japan) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Tosoh are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 91, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 29). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 85, is a strong buy recommendation based on Tosoh's financial characteristics. As the company Tosoh's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 91) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 29) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 91), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 91% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more

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